FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 5/4/18


It’s Friday, it’s Star Wars Day, and we have a full 15-game slate on tap tonight!  This night will be extra exciting for me as the Yankees will dominate this article (it’s Aaron Judge Bobble Head Day!), and there are plenty of cheap pitching options for us to load up on hitting.  I will be back in chat tonight helping all our FTA+ subs cash out, and make sure to follow me on twitter @jac3600.  Good luck!

 

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Gerrit Cole, HOU ($11,000)

Cole is definitely the top option tonight.  He’s off to an insane start to the year with a 2.39 xFIP and a 13.18 K/9, and tonight he’s facing a watered down Diamondbacks team with no DH.  Arizona ranks 26th in wRC+ with the sixth highest K rate against RHP, so this is a great spot for Cole.  That said, there are cheaper options for cash, and Cole is an easy pass for me with so much expensive hitting I have to have.  Consider Cole an elite GPP option.

Other options – J.A. Happ, Rick Porcello

 

VALUE PLAY

Jose Berrios, MIN ($8400)

There are ways to go even cheaper, but right now I’m settled on Berrios as my cash option.  He’s cheap enough and he allows you to fit multiple big Yankee bats in, which is currently my ideal form of building for cash.  Berrios is a -160 road favorite and the White Sox IRT is currently under four runs.  Berrios is coming off a bad start, but his 2.99 xFIP and 9.35 xFIP play beautifully today.  The White Sox lineup is very right-handed, and Berrios has dominated RHB in his short career.  There’s also the chance that Yoan Moncada and Welington Castillo miss another game.

Other options – Mike Foltynewicz, Walker Buehler, Jose Quintana, Garrett Richards, Zack Wheeler, Daniel Mengden, German Marquez

 

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

Gary Sanchez, NYY ($4200)

Get ready for a long procession of Yankee hitters, starting with the Kraken himself.  The Yanks’ IRT currently stands at six runs and I expect it to rise.  Temps are expected to be in the mid 80s with the wind blowing out to LF at almost 20 MPH.  Indians pitcher Josh Tomlin is Chris Tillman-esque as far as skill goes now, and he’s allowed 4.82 HR/9 this season (yes you’re reading that right).  Like I said, get ready for Yankee hitters – they’re ALL in play in all formats this evening.

Other options – Freddie Freeman, Joey Votto, Edwin Encarnacion, Miguel Cabrera, Brandon Belt

 

VALUE PLAY

Justin Bour, MIA ($2900)

Bour is a nice sub 3k option tonight (you’re gonna need to save somewhere!).  The Marlins will be getting a major park upgrade going to Cincinnati and will have the platoon edge against Sal Romano.  The Reds’ righty has a paltry 12.4% K rate which is backed up by a 5% swinging strike rate, and Bour has a .279 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year.

Other options – Matt Olson, Ryan Zimmerman, Josh Bell, Logan Morrison, Neil Walker

Catcher values – Victor Martinez, Brian McCann, Devin Mesoraco

 

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

Jose Altuve, HOU ($4100)

Altuve is another GPP-only pick, but comes with a ton of upside.  The Astros make for a great power/speed stack as they take on Kris Medlen making his Arizona debut.  Altuve is arguably the best event player in baseball, and is an elite GPP options and a cornerstone of any Astros stacks you make.

Other options – Ozzie Albies, Whit Merrifield

 

VALUE PLAY

Brian Dozier, MIN ($3300)

Dozier is flat-out underpriced on FD, and looks to be a lock there.  Dozier has generated a .344 wOBA and .222 ISO against same-handed pitching since the beginning of 2016 and is facing Carson Fulmer who has a 5.95 xFIP and has walked almost five batters per nine innings.  Dozier brings speed upside on top of his power potential as well.

Other options – Ian Kinsler, Gleyber Torres, Starlin Castro

 

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Jose Ramirez, CLE ($4300)

The Yankees aren’t the only team that will benefit from the conditions in their home park.  C.C. Sabathia has been very sharp this season but he’s still allowed 1.42 HR/9 to RHB over the past four years.  Ramirez has a .229 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last season and has a 29% hard hit rate over his last five games.

Other options – Eugenio Suarez, Rafael Devers, Josh Donaldson, Jeimer Candelario

 

VALUE PLAY

Miguel Andujar, NYY ($2900)

The cheap way is to just use another Yankee here.  Andujar will come with a poor lineup spot (likely eighth), but he’s been crushing it for the better part of three weeks.  He’s got a .174 ISO against RHP so far in his young Yankee career, and Tomlin should struggle up and down this Yankee lineup.

Other options – Mike Moustakas, Cheslor Cuthbert, Matt Chapman, Pedro Alvarez

 

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Didi Gregorius, NYY ($4400)

Duh.  Since we’re on the Yankees tonight, it makes sense that the top SS option has been the BEST Yankee so far.  Over the past two years, Didi has a .346 wOBA and .219 ISO against RHP, and Josh Tomlin has allowed a .222 ISO to LHB in that span.  The short RF porch in Yankee Stadium is calling to Didi and his .378 ISO tonight.

Other options – Manny Machado, Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner, Carlos Correa, Marcus Semien

 

VALUE PLAY

Brandon Crawford, SF ($2200)

If you want other Yankees (Judge/Stanton/Sanchez), you can fully punt the SS position with Crawford.  He doesn’t come with the best lineup spot, but he’s getting a park upgrade in Atlanta and Mike Foltynewicz has allowed 1.55 HR/9 to LHB over the last three years.  If you’re looking to take both the top Yankee OFs, you’ll nice a punt like Crawford.

Other options – Jose Peraza, Chris Taylor, Miguel Rojas, Amed Rosario

 

OUTFIELD

Aaron Judge/Giancarlo Stanton, NYY ($4600/$4900)

You need one of these guys in cash tonight, and I’d love to get both.  Tomlin has allowed 1.60 HR/9 to same-handed hitters since the beginning of 2016 and the wind is blowing directly out to left.  Both has strikeout downside, but Tomlin isn’t that type of pitcher.  If you have to pick one of these two, I’ll take Judge with the $300 discount (and the Bobblehead day narrative), but they’re my 1-2 hitters overall this evening.

Other options – Mike Trout, Bryce Harper, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Charlie Blackmon, Eddie Rosario, Christian Yelich, Michael Conforto, Aaron Hicks

 

VALUE PLAY

Brett Gardner, NYY ($3100)

Gardner has been really struggling lately, but he’ll be the leadoff hitter for the top offense by far tonight, which means you really can’t fade him.  Gardner is coming off a season where he just missed going 20/20, and he actually has a useful .161 ISO against RHP since the beginning of 2016. He’s just too cheap given the context tonight.

Other options – Nick Castellanos, Leonys Martin, Adam Duvall, Billy Hamilton, Jarrod Dyson, Gregory Polanco, Adam Frazier, Derek Dietrich, Matt Joyce, Gregor Blanco, Jackie Bradley, Robbie Grossman

Fantasy Baseball

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