FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 5/26/19


We have drastically different strategies across the two websites today, as DraftKings includes the BAL/COL game and FanDuel does not (the Rockies have an insane IRT of 7.2 against David Hess). FD will be a little easier to navigate today without having to worry about squeezing in Rockies, and we have a lot of fun options to roll with. I will be on chat today, and follow me on twitter @jac3600.

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Trevor Bauer, CLE ($10,100)

Bauer’s price is depressed enough that he enters cash territory on FD, but I’d still rather save a few more bucks (see below). Tampa Bay is frustrating against RHP with only a 22.3% K rate and can rack up homers, but Bauer has a fantastic 29% K rate backed by a 13% swinging strike rate. His price is down after a couple of duds, and he’s my favorite GPP play.

Other options – Justin Verlander, Chris Paddack, Domingo German, Zack Wheeler (best value)

VALUE PLAY

Zack Wheeler, NYM ($9500)

Wheeler is technically in the “top play” price range, but he’s the choice I’ll likely be rolling with in cash at a cheaper price tag than the rest. The Tigers will be losing the DH in an NL park, and they rank 29th in wOBA against RHP while striking out 26.4% of the time against them. Wheeler has a 24.7% K rate with a 10.7% swinging strike rate this year while allowing only a 26% HHR, making him a tremendous play today.

Other options – Marcus Stroman, Jose Quintana, Spencer Turnbull, Chris Archer

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

Gary Sanchez, NYY ($4400)

Sanchez is pricey, but the Yanks are in a good spot against Danny Duffy who has allowed a .183 ISO to RHB since the beginning of last season. In that span, Sanchez has roasted LHP for a .374 wOBA and .295 ISO and the Yankees have an IRT of 5.3 runs against KC. If you can’t afford Sanchez in cash, make sure he’s in PLENTY of tournament lineups.

Other options – Luke Voit, CJ Cron, Jose Abreu

VALUE PLAY

Yasmani Grandal, MIL ($3100)

This is super weird to have catchers featured in both spots of the article, but the FD slate has many different ways to build today. Grandal has a .242 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year and Zack Eflin allows a ton of hard contact to lefties. The Brewers are full of powerful lefties and carry an IRT over five runs as well.

Other options – Max Muncy, Howie Kendrick, Neil Walker

Catcher values – Jason Castro, Kurt Suzuki, James McCann

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

D.J. LeMahieu, NYY ($3700)

LeMahieu has been the model of consistency this season and has almost a 10% BB rate since last year which makes him a solid cash floor play. It’s hard to get excited about his price tag given the fact that he has no power upside, but the Yankees are an excellent team to target on this Rockie-less slate.

Other options – Brandon Lowe

VALUE PLAY

Aledmys Diaz, HOU ($2800)

Diaz led off yesterday against the lefty with George Springer on the DL and it would be fair to expect him to again. Eduardo Rodriguez is no pushover (only a 27.7% HHR allowed) but he’s given up a 40% FB rate since the beginning of last season and Houston has a 4.9 IRT despite not having Springer or Altuve. Diaz is a viable source of salary relief on this slate.

Other options – Jonathan Schoop, Jason Kipnis, Starlin Castro

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Mike Moustakas, MIL ($3600)

I’m going to go away from the obvious Bregman as the top play here as the $700 discount on Moose is significant today. Zack Eflin has pitched “fine” this year but he still struggles in the platoon split, allowing 1.35 HR/9 to LHB since last year. In that span, Moustakas has a .268 ISO against RHP.

Other options – Alex Bregman, Anthony Rendon, Miguel Sano (!)

VALUE PLAY

Marwin Gonzalez, MIN ($3400)

We haven’t touched on the Twins yet, but they lead the FD slate with an IRT of six runs. They get the enviable task of facing Dylan Covey and his 5.04 SIERA and 15.4% K rate, and as a team the Twins lead the majors in ISO against RHP with a .254 mark. Marwin has been hitting second or third for Minnesota and has a 28.9% HHR over his last 15 games. He’s a nice cheap access point to this offense.

Other options – Jose Ramirez, Manny Machado, Justin Turner

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Jorge Polanco, MIN ($4300)

Polanco seems more a luxury than a necessity with this price tag, but he’s arguably the best hitter on the best team to stack today so he gets top billing. Polanco is in the midst of a breakout season with a .423 wOBA and .268 ISO, and Dylan Covey has allowed 1.45 HR/9 to LHB since 2017.

Other options – Gleyber Torres, Trea Turner, Francisco Lindor, Carlos Correa

VALUE PLAY

Corey Seager, LAD ($3100)

Seager is fine to use in cash, and is also an integral part of Dodgers stacks with his .191 ISO against RHP since last year. PNC park plays much better to lefties which is where all the Dodgers’ power comes from, and Chris Archer has been flat out terrible this season with a 5.08 xFIP and 1.77 HR/9 allowed. This has led to an IRT of five runs for the Dodgers, and Seager has been hitting in premier lineup spots.

Other options – Tim Anderson, Amed Rosario, Greg Garcia

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

Max Kepler, MIN ($3800)

Cody Bellinger and Christian Yelich are the top overall projected scorers, but remember – it’s my job to find you the best PER-DOLLAR options for cash, and Kepler is a bargain at $1000 less than the other two guys. He’ll lead off for the Twins and their IRT of six runs, and Kepler has a .357 wOBA and .228 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year. I would lock him into cash at this price tag.

Other options – Eddie Rosario, Cody Bellinger, Joc Pederson, Bryce Harper, Andrew McCutchen, Aaron Hicks, Austin Meadows

VALUE PLAY

Curtis Granderson, MIA ($2500)

The timeless Granderson finds his way onto our radar again with a leadoff spot on the road and a park upgrade for lefty power. Erick Fedde is terrific at keeping the ball on the ground (60% GB rate this year) but he also doesn’t miss bats (13.4% K rate). He’s also backed by a Nats bullpen that ranks 29th in FIP. Grandy is a nice cheap part of cash lineups.

Other options – Lorenzo Cain, Ryan Braun, Kyle Schwarber, Clint Frazier, Victor Robles, Hunter Renfroe, Wil Myers, Franmil Reyes, Randal Grichuk, Yasiel Puig

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