FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 5/21/19


The streak ended on FD yesterday, but I kept right on rolling on DK. Tonight we have a full 14-game slate, complete with insane pitching depth and a lot of high-octane offenses. Join us in chat as we break down all the best options for cash and GPPs, and make sure to follow me on twitter @jac3600.

STARTING PITCHER

Justin Verlander, HOU ($12,000)

There is a lot of pitching depth on this slate, but Verlander ranks SO far ahead of the others on the slate that I consider him a building block for cash even at his high price tag. Verlander is currently a -352 favorite which might be the highest spread we’ve seen all year, and he’s got a 2.8 IRTA. The White Sox are middling in wOBA against RHP (17th) but they have the fourth highest K rate against them, and we saw their free-swinging ways on display against Brad Peacock yesterday. Verlander has a 34% K rate and a 14.5% swinging strike rate this year. Stranger things have happened (deGrom imploding against Miami), but I’d be stunned if Verlander didn’t savage the White Sox tonight.

Other options – Zack Greinke, Caleb Smith, Domingo German, Clayton Kershaw, Zack Wheeler

VALUE PLAY

German Marquez, COL ($8200)

My favorite GPP option is Marquez, although I have a feeling he’ll be a bit overowned there as well. The Pirates rank 20th in wRC+ against RHP and have only an IRT of 3.7 runs, but they also have one of the lowest K rates against RHP on the slate (21%). Marquez’s K rate is not quite where it was last year, but his swinging strike rate remains elite at 12.9%. He’s also getting about as good a park boost as a pitcher can going from Denver to Pittsburgh.

Other options – Jose Quintana, Chris Archer, Michael Wacha, Sonny Gray, Erick Fedde

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

Luke Voit, NYY ($4000)

The Yankees have an IRT of 5.8 runs and are facing David Hess who is not a major-league caliber pitcher. He has allowed a CAREER 2.26 HR/9, and is backed by an Orioles bullpen that ranks dead last in FIP. Voit has a .372 wOBA and .238 ISO and has taken big strides in lowering his K rates. It’s hard to pay full price since you’ll only fit one big bat, but Voit is elite in GPPs.

Other options – Gary Sanchez, Paul Goldschmidt, Daniel Vogelbach, Edwin Encarnacion

VALUE PLAY

Logan Forsythe, TEX ($3300)

The Rangers once again come in with the highest IRT on the slate at six runs (but it’s close). Forsythe has seen himself thrust into terrific lineup spots against lefties, and tonight he faces Tommy Milone. He’s a splits-neutral pitcher but it’s going to be almost 90 and humid and Milone has allowed well over a 40% FB rate over the last three years. Forsythe carries a solid .337 wOBA and .200 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last year, buthe does have PH risk.

Other options – Max Muncy, Brandon Belt, Joey Votto

Catcher values – Yasmani Grandal, Robinson Chirinos, Omar Narvaez

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

NONE

Like usual, the 2B position is for value tonight. Whit Merrifield and Michael Chavis (.215 ISO against RHP) are high-upside GPP plays, but should be nowhere near cash.

VALUE PLAY

Dee Gordon, SEA ($2900)

The Mariners are another fantastic stack tonight with an IRT of 5.6 runs, and the lefties in particular are valuable against Lance Lynn who has allowed a .353 wOBA and .180 ISO to them since 2017. Gordon offers zero power, but he leads off and steals bases which gives him a unique floor/ceiling combo for all formats.

Other options – Jonathan Schoop, DJ LeMahieu, Rougned Odor, Jonathan Villar

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Alex Bregman, HOU ($4300)

I want Bregman SO BADLY tonight, but Verlander takes precedence which makes Breg’s price tag difficult. Houston’s IRT is 5.5 runs as well, which actually seems low to me given Dylan Covey’s 7.31 xFIP and 1.65 HR/9 allowed. Bregman steals bases, and he has a .381 wOBA and .243 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year.

Other options – Mike Moustakas, Matt Carpenter, Eugenio Suarez

VALUE PLAY

Asdrubal Cabrera, TEX ($3000)

I soured on Cabrera yesterday when he wound up in the seventh spot in the order, and he went on to hit two homers. It’s still tough to stomach a 7-hitter in cash, but Cabrera has a .211 ISO against LHP since 2017 and gives you affordable exposure to the Texas offense.

Other options – Tommy La Stella, Justin Turner, Vladimir Guerrero

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Gleyber Torres, NYY ($3600)

Torres double-donged yesterday and his price on FD only went up $100. He gets a top five lineup spot for the Yankees and has a 39% HHR over his last ten games. Gleyber is fittable in cash games even with Verlander, and he offers mega upside against Hess and the O’s bullpen.

Other options – Carlos Correa, Paul DeJong, Adalberto Mondesi, Jorge Polanco, Trevor Story

VALUE PLAY

Jose Iglesias, CIN ($2400)

Iglesias is not a good play, but the price tag immediately brings him into play on a night where Verlander is the top priority. He’s been hitting fifth lately for the Reds and has the platoon edge against Gio Gonzalez. Iglesias won’t keep it up, but he currently has a 36% HHR against LHP.

Other options – Corey Seager, JP Crawford

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

Joey Gallo, TEX ($4300)

Like yesterday, Gallo is my top overall play. His biggest bugaboo is strikeouts, and Tommy Milone’s 19.5% K rate ranks near the bottom on the slate. Milone has become a lot more neutral-split, but he allowed 1.78 HR/9 to same-handed hitters from 2015-2017. Gallo still has epic power against LHP, with a .281 ISO since last year.

Other options – Mike Trout, Shin Soo Choo, Nomar Mazara, Hunter Pence, Mitch Haniger, Domingo Santana, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Charlie Blackmon, Christian Yelich, Aaron Hicks, George Springer, Michael Brantley

VALUE PLAY

Aaron Hicks, NYY ($3500)

Hicks is a little more expensive than I typically like to go in my “value” section, but I view him as a core cash play since he should be at least 4k on this slate. Hicks should hit second or third for the Yanks against David Hess, and he has a .352 wOBA and .200 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year. Hess has a 5.16 SIERA an 2.36 HR/9 allowed to LHB in that span.

Other options – Joc Pederson, Jay Bruce, Clint Frazier, Brett Gardner, Yasiel Puig, David Dahl, Raimel Tapia, Kyle Schwarber, Randal Grichuk, Ryan Braun, Max Kepler

Fantasy Baseball