The injury has been running rampant through the majors, and lineups may be affected on tonight’s 14-game slate. There are many ways to go with your pitchers tonight, so we should be in for some fun. I will be back in chat tonight after technical difficulties kept me out until the very end last night, and you can follow me on twitter @jac3600. Good luck!
Noah Syndergaard, NYM ($10,000)
It’s hard to pass on Gerrit Cole and what he’s done this year, but it’s really hard to believe the K rate is sustainable considering he’s never surpassed 24% in his career. That said, I still wouldn’t argue if you wanted to stretch up to him given how good he’s been, but the Angels are fourth in wRC+ against RHP with the second lowest K rate against. In cash tonight, I prefer the $1800 discount to Syndergaard. Despite his heightened WHIP this year, his K rate remains in line with his career (and FD doesn’t punish for hits and walks allowed anyway). He’s facing the Blue Jays who have the seventh highest K rate, and they’ll get a negative park shift and lose the DH (likely Kendrys Morales).
Other options – Gerrit Cole, Zack Greinke
Yu Darvish, CHC ($7700)
Darvish is one of the most confusing plays I’ve seen all year. He’s $7700, which we all would have called an absolute lock if we had seen it earlier this season. However, Darvish has been far worse this year than we all thought he would be, and the other kicker is the Braves offense has been far BETTER than anyone anticipated. That said, Darvish is not dealing with any kind of an injury (he was on the DL for an “illness”), and his K rate is still at a very good 26.4%. Ultimately, I’d prefer to limit Darvish to GPPs given his 5.08 FIP this year, but I don’t argue if you want to take the risk in cash based on how cheap he is.
Other options – Masahiro Tanaka, Eduardo Rodriguez, Nick Pivetta, Trevor Williams, Jose Berrios, Jaime Garcia
Carlos Santana, PHI ($3900)
Santana’s price is little restrictive for cash considering he now bats fifth, but the Phillies’ IRT is soaring at 5.4 runs against Andrew Cashner. Philly is getting a solid park upgrade going to Camden Yards and Cashner has allowed a .361 wOBA and .199 ISO to LHB since the beginning of 2016. He is the ultimate good luck pitcher, and Santana has a .253 ISO against RHP in that time frame.
Other options – Freddie Freeman, Anthony Rizzo, Edwin Encarnacion, Hanley Ramirez, Paul Goldschmidt, Gary Sanchez
Brad Miller, TB ($2400)
Miller is a fine 1B value, and you can stick him in the UTIL spot as well on FD. The Rays have a strong IRT for them (4.7) and are facing Ian Kennedy who is an extreme flyball pitcher (over 1.60 HR/9 allowed since the beginning of 2014). Miller has a .192 ISO against RHP over the last three years and has cemented himself into the cleanup spot for Tampa.
Other options – Josh Bell, CJ Cron, Chris Davis, Wilmer Flores
Catcher values – Buster Posey, Wilson Ramos, Victor Martinez, Devin Mesoraco
Ozzie Albies, ATL ($4400)
Albies is strictly a tournament play, but a good one if you think Yu Darvish continues to struggle. Albies is one of the darlings of fantasy this season as he’s already combined for 18 homers and steals to go along with a .311 ISO and 139 wRC+. The Braves only have an IRT of 4.3 runs given Vegas’ unwillingness to fade Darvish yet, but Atlanta makes for one of the sneakier stacks tonight.
Other options – Jose Altuve, Cesar Hernandez, Brian Dozier, Whit Merrifield
Rougned Odor, TEX ($2200)
Odor is getting a negative park shift going from Texas to Seattle, but he should get a bit of a lineup boost with the Rangers banged up and he’s facing a very contact-oriented pitcher in Mike Leake. Odor has shown some nice pop against RHP in his career (.217 ISO) and Leake has a 5.72/4.80/4.85 pitching slash thus far this year. As long as Odor gets himself into the sixth spot of the lineup (hopefully better), he’s a fine cash value at a tough position.
Other options – Eduardo Nunez, Leury Garcia, Ketel Marte
Jose Ramirez, CLE ($4500)
There’s no stopping this man right now (which of course explains the high price tag). Ramirez has four homers and seven RBIs over his last six games to go along with a 37% hard hit rate, and is facing Francisco Liriano who is rapidly declining each year (and is backed by a horrific Tigers bullpen). Ramirez has a .200 ISO against LHP since the beginning of last season and is fine in all formats. The only problem is Kike Hernandez (see below) is a ready made value at the position, and they’re tough to find elsewhere.
Other options – Kris Bryant, Travis Shaw, Anthony Rendon
Kike Hernandez, LAD ($2400)
It’s hard to pay full price for Ramirez in cash when you can have Kike for $2100 less. Kike has a .380 wOBA and .255 ISO against LHP over the last three years, and is facing Wei-Yin Chen who has allowed 1.51 HR/9 to RHB in that span (plus he’s sporting a healthy 10.22 ERA so far this year). I don’t think the Dodgers’ IRT of 4.3 runs is nearly high enough, and Kike is almost free exposure to them.
Other options – Matt Carpenter, Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers, Daniel DeScalso
Francisco Lindor, CLE ($4800)
Like yesterday, Lindor is more of a luxury on this slate, but he’s got a combined 17 homers and steals, a .420 wOBA, and a .341 ISO. The Indians have an IRT of 5.1 runs and are one of the top stacks on the slate against Francisco Liriano and company. The issue here is his immense price tag, which really doesn’t fit the cash makeup tonight.
Other options – Manny Machado, Carlos Correa, Trea Turner, Xander Bogaerts, Chris Taylor
Marcus Semien, OAK ($3400)
It would be great if Semien was a little cheaper, but he’s an adequate value with a park boost in his favor going to Fenway Park. Eduardo Rodriguez is a quality pitcher, but he has allowed a 35% hard hit rate to RHB since the beginning of 2016, and Semien has a .197 ISO against LHP in that span. He should lead off or hit second, and is the best middling target if you don’t want to pay up or all the way down.
Other options – Jose Peraza, Jurickson Profar, Scott Kingery
Mookie Betts, BOS ($5100)
Betts remains the top option, and the Red Sox have the highest IRT on the slate against Daniel Mengden (5.8 runs). Mengden is incapable of missing bats and has allowed over a 40% hard hit rate to all batters this season, and Betts has posted a 35.3% and an insane .404 ISO this year. He’s challenge to fit in at his price tag, but you’ll be able to afford one alongside a top pitcher, and it’s fine if you want Betts to be your priority.
Other options – JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Bryce Harper, Rhys Hoskins, Nelson Cruz, Kyle Schwarber, Tommy Pham, Odubel Herrera, Gregory Polanco, Khris Davis
Joey Gallo, TEX ($3100)
It was pointed out on twitter that Joey Gallo is facing a ton of below-average, contact-oriented hitters, raising his seasonal value by quite a lot. That translates to DFS as well, and Gallo is too cheap for a matchup against Mike Leake. The park downgrade hurts, but Gallo’s .272 ISO plays well in any field, and he has a whopping 50% hard hit rate over the last 15 games. He’s viable in all formats.
Other options – Trey Mancini, Adam Jones, Christian Yelich, Aaron Altherr, David Peralta, Max Kepler, Ben Zobrist, Adam Frazier, Denard Span, Carlos Gomez, Mikie Mahtook, Brandon Guyer, Gregor Blanco
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