FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 5/14/18


It’s a new week, and we get to start it with an eight-game slate tonight.  We get to move away from Coors Field and some of the other top offenses in the game (Yankees), and the Indians are a clear-cut top stack tonight (pitcher included).  We’ll be working hard for you in FTA+ chat tonight, and a new week in the HR call challenge (congrats KJ for winning last week), and be sure to follow me on twitter @jac3600.

 

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Carlos Carrasco, CLE ($9800)

Carrasco is the chalk SP, and with good reason.  The fact that he’s not even the most expensive pitcher on the slate is just gravy on top, and he should be the first name you click.  Carrasco is facing the Tigers who rank 24th in wRC+ against RHP, and they’re missing Miguel Cabrera and Leonys Martin (plus Candelario and Castellanos have both been in and out of the lineup lately).  Carrasco is the biggest favorite on the slate by a long shot at -240 and he also has the lowest IRTA on the slate at 3.4.  There’s no overthinking this one.

Other options – Patrick Corbin, Lance McCullers

 

VALUE PLAY

Tyler Anderson, COL ($6900)

There’s only one answer for cash games (see above), but Anderson is a really good GPP value (and the SP2 on DraftKings).  Anderson gets as good a park boost as can be (Colorado to San Diego) and faces the Padres who rank 21st in wRC+ against LHP with the sixth highest K rate against them.  Furthermore, Wil Myers is still out of the lineup and he’s by far the best hitter against lefties, and Anderson’s K rate is up this year.

Other options – Joey Lucchesi, Jake Odorizzi, Chris Stratton

 

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

Edwin Encarnacion, CLE ($3600)

Not only is Carrasco the top pitching option, the Indians offense is by far the best to target, and you’re going to want multiple pieces in your cash lineup.  Encarnacion has really picked up the pace in the month of May and is facing Mike Fiers who has allowed a .207 ISO to same-handed hitters over the last two seasons.  He’s also about $500 too cheap on FD and is one of the top overall hitters on the slate.

Other options – Hanley Ramirez, Joey Votto, Paul Goldschmidt, Brandon Belt, Salvador Perez

 

VALUE PLAY

Yonder Alonso, CLE ($2800)

Edwin is really also the top value, but if you want cheaper access to the same offense, Alonso is your man (especially if he hits fifth).  Fiers is almost as bad against lefties (.192 ISO allowed to them over the last two years), and Alonso has a .222 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year.

Other options – CJ Cron, Matt Olson, Joe Mauer

Catcher values – Buster Posey, Wilson Ramos, Mitch Garver

 

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

Brian Dozier, MIN ($3700)

Dozier has finally popped out of his early-season slump, and has a 34% hard hit rate over the last five games to go along with nine hits and two homers.  He has crushed LHP his whole career and and Wade LeBlanc has allowed a .206 ISO to RHB over the last two years.  The Twins are a sneaky offense with a 4.8 IRT, and Dozier’s price tags are middling.

Other options – Jose Altuve, Whit Merrifield

 

VALUE PLAY

Eduardo Nunez, BOS ($2900)

Nunez has generally been hitting eighth against righties, but gets a boost all the way to sixth against lefties.  He comes with power and speed upside, and Vegas is not buying Sean Manaea’s early season success as they’ve pegged Boston for an IRT of five runs (second highest on the slate behind Cleveland).  He’s an adequate punt if you’re looking to spend up elsewhere, but I’d rather get to Dozier in cash.

Other options – Jason Kipnis, Daniel Robertson, Jose Pirela

 

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY

Jose Ramirez, CLE ($4200)

The top plays at most of the positions are going to be Indians.  The switch-hitting Ramirez is arguably the best hitter on the team, and he gets to take aim at the horrible Tigers bullpen after they’ve knocked Mike Fiers out of the game.  Ramirez has a .390 wOBA and .227 ISO against RHP since the beginning of 2016.

Other options – Mike Moustakas, Eduardo Escobar

 

VALUE PLAY

Cheslor Cuthbert, KC ($2400)

Again, if you’re not paying for the top hitters in Cleveland, you’re going to want to punt there so you can buy the other ones (Lindor, Edwin, etc).  Cuthbert is not the greatest hitter but fits the bill as long as he’s hitting in the top five (you can generally catch him batting fifth against lefties).  Ryan Yarbrough is starting for the Rays which likely means a bullpen game, but the Tampa bullpen ranks 21st in xFIP and the Royals have an IRT of 4.7.

Other options – Kyle Seager, Matt Duffy, Matt Chapman

 

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Francisco Lindor, CLE ($4700)

Lindor is the toughest choice you have to make tonight.  He’s the most expensive Indian which makes it look like he’s an easy fade, but on the other hand the position is devoid of value plays as of right now.  Lindor is one of the best players in fantasy, and he’s already up to 17 combined homers and steals.  He’s a big-time challenge to fit into cash, but if values open at other position, you can try and make it work.

Other options – Carlos Correa, Xander Bogaerts, Jean Segura

 

VALUE PLAY

Marcus Semien, OAK ($3400)

Semien has a tough matchup against Rick Porcello, but he’s cheap enough to consider leading off on the road.  Porcello is still power-prone, and Semien is getting a huge park upgrade going to Boston (which is one of the best parks for right-handed power).  He also comes with a semblance of speed upside.

Other options – Brandon Crawford, Adeiny Hechavarria

 

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

Mookie Betts, BOS ($5000)

Betts is the top choice in the outfield, but it’s going to be so incredibly difficult to fit him in with his full price tag.  That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t try though, as Betts is killing it this year with a .412 ISO and a 35% hard hit rate.  He’s also got a small-sample size BvP boost against Sean Manaea (two homers and a triple in 12 at bats), and is the best GPP option on the slate (he’s also cash viable, but the price is very restrictive of that).

Other options – JD Martinez, Michael Brantley, Mitch Haniger, Nelson Cruz, Jorge Soler, George Springer, AJ Pollock, Khris Davis

 

VALUE PLAY

Robbie Grossman, MIN ($2000)

I really hope Grossman is in the lineup, as his minimum price tag makes things so much easier overall.  Grossman is no slouch against lefties either, as he’s posted a .355 wOBA and .202 ISO against them since the beginning of 2015.  He could literally be anywhere in the lineup, but at that price tag it really doesn’t matter, and there’s even the chance he gets a premier lineup spot like third or fourth.  Get him in.

Other options – David Peralta, Lorenzo Cain, Ryan Braun, Domingo Santana, Andrew McCutchen, Dee Gordon, Matt Joyce, Byron Buxton, Gregor Blanco, Carlos Gomez, Denard Span, Manuel Margot

 

Daily MLB, DFS Lineup Advice