FanDuel DFS MLB Picks | 5/13/19


Another great weekend for the FTA crew, and we even had some EPL and MMA screenshots on twitter over the weekend! Today is a very condensed Monday slate, but there’s still more than enough options to take part, and we’ll be full steam ahead in chat this evening. Follow me on twitter @jac3600, and DM us @FanTeamAdvice for a free weeklong trial if you’re a new subscriber.

STARTING PITCHER

TOP PLAY

Aaron Nola, PHI ($9300)

I’m wondering if people will automatically dismiss this play since Nola is facing Milwaukee who has gotten the stigma as an offense to never attack. They do have some scary hitters, but the fact of of the matter is they’re middle of the road in wOBA against RHP (16th) and their 26.8% K rate is the second highest (only the putrid Marlins are worse). After struggling to start the season, Nola has given up only one run in three straight outings while striking out 17 batters in 17 innings. Even if the Brewers get to him for a few runs, the K’s should be there.

Other options – Jose Berrios, Shane Bieber

VALUE PLAY

Robbie Ray, ARI ($8800)

If you can’t get past the power upside of the Milwaukee hitters, Ray is also an option for cash at $500 less than Nola. Ray has an elite 11.34 K/9, but unfortunately you also have to take on his 4.74 BB/9 which always has the prospect of killing you in cash. I think the matchup breaks the tie here, and Pittsburgh ranks dead last in wOBA against LHP with a massive 29% K rate. He’s also been limited home runs very well, which has led to a respectable SIERA under 4.00.

Other options – Brad Peacock, Yusei Kikuchi, Reynaldo Lopez

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

TOP PLAY

C.J. Cron, MIN ($3500)

I enjoyed a week of Cron being underpriced on both sites, but unfortunately that’s not the case of FD anymore. You can still play him at $3500 though, as Cron is a quality power bat, especially in the platoon split. Tyler Skaggs never lived up to his hype, and he’s fully attackable with RHB, who have posted a career .365 wOBA and 35.4% HHR against him.

Other options – Rhys Hoskins, Edwin Encarnacion, Christian Walker, Carlos Santana

VALUE PLAY

Yonder Alonso, CHW ($2500)

Alonso came through with a homer for me yesterday, and he’s in play even with a tougher matchup (Shane Bieber). Alonso has posted a .217 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year, and in that span Bieber has really been roughed up for LHB for a .394 wOBA and 39.8% HHR. He’s taken massive strides as a pitcher this year, but that doesn’t mean he’s fixed all his platoon issues. Alonso is cheap enough to risk if you want to pay up for other spots.

Other options – Dan Vogelbach, Miguel Cabrera, Tyler White, Aledmys Diaz (why the hell he’s a 1B on FD I have no idea…)

Catcher values – Mitch Garver, JT Realmuto, Yasmani Grandal, Francisco Cervelli

SECOND BASE

TOP PLAY

NONE

Mike Moustakas is the highest-priced 2B at $3300. He’s worth a GPP shot with his power, but I’m not paying that in cash against Nola.

VALUE PLAY

Dee Gordon, SEA ($2800)

You’ll have to check to make sure Gordon is active for this one, as he missed the whole weekend after getting hit on the wrist. If he is in, he should lead off against Mike Fiers who I am not remotely afraid to attack after his no hitter. Fiers has allowed over a 4.75 FIP to both sides of the plate over the last five year, and his K rates are plummeting.

Other options – Mike Moustakas, Jonathan Schoop, Jason Kipnis

THIRD BASE

TOP PLAY AND TOP VALUE

Jose Ramirez, CLE ($3500)

Ramirez is a lock in cash games at his price. I get it if you want Bregman again (I do too), but FD’s utility spot makes it possible to do both. Ramirez has a .375 wOBA and .239 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year while also swiping 44 bags. Reynaldo Lopez shows us the occasional dominant outing from time to time, but he’s another bad pitcher with a 4.87 SIERA and a 37.4% GB rate. Cleveland’s IRT is pushing five runs, and they’re my go-to stack tonight.

Other options – Alex Bregman, Matt Chapman, Eduardo Escobar, Yoan Moncada, Marwin Gonzalez, Jeimer Candelario

SHORTSTOP

TOP PLAY

Francisco Lindor, CLE ($3600)

Lindor is an even bigger core play for me than Ramirez is due to a lot more positional scarcity at SS tonight. Like Ramirez, Lindor has crushed RHP for a .367 wOBA and .241 ISO, and he stole 25 bases last season. Get them both in your lineups for cash tonight.

Other options – Jorge Polanco, Carlos Correa, Marcus Semien

VALUE PLAY

Harold Castro, DET ($2000)

Castro is a means to an end if you want to free up a lot more space for big bats, but he’d have to go into the UTIL section because you’re not fading Lindor in cash. Castro is not a good hitter, but Brad Peacock has allowed almost a 40% HHR to LHB this year.

Other options – Tim Anderson, Tim Beckham

OUTFIELD

TOP PLAY

Nelson Cruz, MIN ($3900)

With Mike Trout having a difficult matchup in Jose Berrios, I’m OK calling someone else the top cash play this evening. Cruz has blasted LHP for a .297 ISO over a long career, and he’s been crushing the ball all season long with a 32.3% HHR (37% HHR over his last 15 games). Don’t be afraid of Tyler Skaggs, or an Angels bullpen that ranks 19th in SIERA (improving since Cody Allen had his role diminished).

Other options – Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani, Bryce Harper, George Springer, David Peralta, Khris Davis, Mitch Haniger, Domingo Santana, Starling Marte, Christian Yelich

VALUE PLAY

Jarrod Dyson, ARI ($2800)

Viable cheap outfielders seem pretty easy to find on this slate. We haven’t even touched on the Diamondbacks yet but they actually have the top IRT of all the teams in action at 5.1 runs (the only team to reach five runs so far). Nick Kingham is starting for Pittsburgh, and you’ll be hard-pressed to find a worse pitcher in the platoon split than him. Over his career, Kingham has allowed a .408 wOBA to LHB while posting a 7.14 FIP and walking nearly as many lefty batters as he’s struck out. A stack of Peralta/Dyson/Escobar is wonderful for GPPs, and Dyson is an easy cash game play leading off at $2800.

Other options – Leonys Martin, Carlos Gonzalez, Jake Bauers, Stephen Piscotty, Jay Bruce, Adam Jones, Nicholas Castellanos, Niko Goodrum

Fantasy Baseball