Happy Saturday! I’m coming off solid wins in both MLB and NBA last night, so I’m eager to let it ride today. Basketball isn’t a factor today as the NCAA takes center stage, but we have two slates of baseball to tackle. This article will deal with the main slate only, but I will be on chat discussing the early plays leading up to 1:00, and follow me on twitter @jac3600.
David Price, BOS ($9000)
As a Yankee fan, I love seeing the Red Sox struggle. As a DFS player, it gives me pause on recommending the pitchers since they’ve all been BAD this year. However, Price is getting a league shift in his favor (no DH) albeit with a park downgrade, and he has the K upside to make this work tonight. The problem is you’ll have to go cheaper at SP if you want to load up on Coors bats, but Price is at a pretty fair salary. The Diamondbacks busted up Boston for 15 runs yesterday, but this is a roster that no longer has the righty threats of Goldschmidt, Pollock, Castillo, Souza, or Tomas. Boston also needs length from Price after the bullpen was heavily used yesterday.
Other options – Walker Buehler, J.A. Happ
Dylan Bundy, BAL ($6300)
This pick makes me want to physically vomit, as I’m seriously considering using the guy who allowed seven more homers than any other pitcher last year, and is facing my Yankees. Here’s what’s going for him, though. Bundy struck out seven Yankees in only 3.2 innings of work last game, and he’s struck out more than a batter per inning against RHB for his career. The Yankees lineup is decimated by injury, and they’re really only featuring one lefty in their regular lineup (Bird) that can inflict power damage against Bundy’s wide splits. If you want all the Coors, I think this is your route.
Other options – Cole Hamels, Corbin Burnes, Luke Weaver
Max Muncy, LAD ($4300)
The Dodgers have an IRT of 5.2 runs in Coors which is the highest on the slate, and you’ll want to prioritize two lefty bats as your main spends there. Muncy is lower on my list than some of the others as Freese could pinch hit for him late in the game, but Muncy rocked as incredible .319 ISO last season in his breakout year and Jon Gray has been very susceptible to lefty power.
Other options – Anthony Rizzo, Freddie Freeman, Gary Sanchez
Greg Bird, NYY ($3000)
Bird is a legit threat to Bundy tonight, as Bundy allowed an incredible 2.63 HR/9 to LHB since the beginning of 2016 and Bird has posted a .219 ISO against RHP in that span. Despite their early season injuries and struggles, the Yanks still have an IRT of 4.8 runs, and Bird should hit in the top five of the lineup.
Other options – Ryan McMahon, Neil Walker, Yuli Gurriel, Tyler White
Catcher values – Austin Barnes, Yasmani Grandal, Brian McCann
Jose Altuve, HOU ($3800)
Second base is one of few positions tonight where you won’t find a Coors play (unless Garrett Hampson gets a randomly high lineup spot). Altuve is facing Aaron Brooks who had a paltry 10% K rate at the major league level while never topping out an 18% rate at any level of the minors. The Astros have a solid IRT of 4.9 runs and ranked second in ISO against RHP last season with the same lineup.
Other options – Kike Hernandez, Ozzie Albies
Wilmer Flores, ARI ($2500)
Flores is still a platoon darling, owning a .350 wOBA and .214 ISO against LHP over the past two seasons. He’ll face a tough pitcher in David Price, but he’ll get a premier lineup spot (likely third) and Price has allowed a 34% HHR to RHB over the last two years.
Other options – Jonathan Villar, Garrett Hampson, Jurickson Profar, Tyler Wade
Justin Turner, LAD ($4400)
The Dodgers’ lefties take precedence since Gray has been pretty tough on righty bats, but Turner is SUCH a good reverse-split hitter that he can be used in all formats. Over the past three seasons, Turner has a .361 wOBA and .193 ISO against same-handed pitching, and he gets the Coors effect with a solid lineup spot.
Other options – Nolan Arenado, Matt Chapman, Kris Bryant, Alex Bregman, Josh Donaldson
Rafael Devers, BOS ($3200)
Devers was my cover boy yesterday with his .222 ISO against RHP, but they dropped him to sixth in the lineup spot which dinged him enough that I pivoted to Escobar. Wherever he hits, he’s still a fine value today against Luke Weaver who has allowed almost a 40% HHR to LHB since the beginning of 2017. Devers hasn’t seen massive results, but his HHR is at 43% for the season so far.
Other options – Eduardo Escobar, Chad Pinder
Corey Seager, LAD ($3700)
Seager is a core play for me tonight as the only lefty Dodger bat that has seemed to split through the cracks as far the “Coors price hike” goes. He should hit second with the platoon edge and is fully recovered from his surgery. Before getting hurt, Seager was posting a .358 wOBA and .198 ISO, and he’s easy to fit even if you go with an expensive SP.
Other options – Trevor Story, Javier Baez, Xander Bogaerts
Carlos Correa, HOU ($3200)
Correa remains underpriced on FD, and he’s been a nightly play for me there. That will not continue tonight as Seager is much more important, but Correa gets the matchup highlighted in Altuve’s blurb, and he’s got a 38.5% HHR so far this year to go along with a homer and four doubles. He’s a great GPP pivot off chalky Seager.
Other options – Nick Ahmed, Dansby Swanson
Cody Bellinger, LAD ($5000)
First off, Joc Pederson PROBABLY makes more sense here leading off at $600 less, but how do you go against Bellinger right now? The man is the hottest hitter on the planet with a ridiculous .417/.447/.917 slash to go along with six homers and 16 RBIs through six games. Now we’re putting him in Coors against a righty pitcher that allowed 1.77 HR/9 to LHB last year? Yes, please.
Other options – Joc Pederson, AJ Pollock, Mookie Betts, JD Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Aaron Judge, Charlie Blackmon, David Dahl, Ronald Acuna, Lorenzo Cain, Michael Brantley, Kyle Schwarber
Brett Gardner, NYY ($3300)
Gardner should continue to lead off for the Yankees, and he’s not useless in the power department (.173 ISO against RHP the last three years). Attacking Bundy with lefties has proven to work since the beginning of last year, and Gardner has two multi-hit games in his last three. His run scoring chances should be high as well, and FD heavily weights that category.
Other options – Clint Frazier, Ramon Laureano, Mark Canha, Ryan Braun, Hernan Perez, Ben Zobrist, Ian Desmond, Josh Reddick, Trey Mancini, Joey RickardFantasy Baseball