Today is my 37th birthday, and last year I won over $1000 on my birthday playing DFS MLB so let’s continue that magic together this evening! We have a 14-game slate with a wide variety of pitching and offensive upside, so roster construction may prove tricky without seeing lineups first. As always, FTA+ chat is working overtime to give you that edge in cash and GPPs, and while I won’t be there tonight (birthday dinner) KJ and the spreadsheets should take good care of you in our LIVE chat. I’m also on twitter @jac3600. Good luck!
Chris Sale, BOS ($12,000)
The first decision comes immediately in the form of Chris Sale. He is by far the top projected pitcher on the slate but the issue comes down to how much hitting you’re willing to sacrifice with other appealing options present. Sale has struck out 10+ batters in seven straight starts and is getting a massive park boost going to Oakland. Sale is rocking an insane 38.8% K rate and the A’s strike out the fourth most against LHP and have an IRT of just 3.2 runs. You’ll have to eschew some good hitters, but if you want Sale in cash you get no argument from me.
Other options – Jacob deGrom
Alex Wood, LAD ($8900)
I anticipate Wood will be the chalk value tonight as anyone uncomfortable with Sale’s price tag will logically drop down to Wood. The Dodgers lefty has been nothing short of elite this season, posting a 33.1% K rate along with a 62.8% GB rate. This is backed by an increase in velocity and his 1.64 FIP and 2.17 xFIP are showing that he’s doing this solely on skill. Wood is the largest favorite on the slate at -236 and the Marlins also have an IRT of 3.2 runs (tied with Sale for the lowest IRT against).
Other options – Luis Severino, Nathan Karns, Taijuan Walker, Tyler Anderson, Daniel Norris
Salvador Perez, KC ($3300)
The catcher position is unusually deep tonight but I’d still be careful how much I’d spend with so many other appealing hitters. Perez is hitting the ball really hard right now and has a .196 ISO against LHP since the beginning of 2014. In that span, Hector Santiago has really struggled with keeping the ball in the park, allowing 1.49 HR/9 to RHB.
Other options – Gary Sanchez, Buster Posey, Brian McCann
Jonathan Lucroy, TEX ($3000)
Lucroy is not quite the value he’s been all week, but he’s still cheap enough at 3k to be the most sensible cash option right now. Lucroy has posted a .382 wOBA and .199 ISO against LHP over the past three seasons and Daniel Norris (while he possesses K upside) struggles with righty power (1.34 HR/9 allowed since the beginning of last year). Lucroy seems to have locked himself into the cleanup spot too.
Other options – Matt Wieters, Tyler Flowers, James McCann
Paul Goldschmidt, ARI ($4700)
I don’t care that this game is in San Diego. Jered Weaver simply can’t pitch anymore, and it’s shown by the unbelievable 3.02 HR/9 he’s allowing this year. Goldy still has a .235 ISO against RHP over the last two seasons and has unique speed upside for the 1B position, making him a worthy spend in all formats even fully priced.
Other options – Miguel Cabrera, Jose Abreu, Chris Davis, Carlos Santana
Kendrys Morales, TOR ($2900)
Chris Tillman is a good pitcher, but he’s still dealing with some velocity issues as he works all the way back from his injury. Morales should hit third or fourth for the Jays and he’s posted a .209 ISO against RHP since the beginning of last year. Baltimore is also a paradise for left-handed hitters.
Other options – Edwin Encarnacion, Hanley Ramirez, Lucas Duda, John Jaso
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