FanDuel and DraftKings DFS Picks | 1/5/19


Tonight is going to be TOUGH. We have Harden, first and foremost, but we also have Anthony Davis against the Cavs AND a GS/SAC game with an O/U approaching 240. Where to begin? That’s what we’re here for at FTA, and we’ll be working hard for you all day in both playoff NFL and NBA DFS, so join up if you haven’t already. I can also be found on twitter @jac3600. Good luck!

FANDUEL TOP POINT GUARD

Damian Lillard, POR ($9000)

If Jimmy Butler were to sit again, Ben Simmons would jump Lillard at the top, but right now I’m a really big fan of Dame at an $1100 discount to Steph Curry. There is concern that Lillard is on a b2b, but the Rockets will offer no defensive resistance with Austin Rivers or James Harden guarding him. This game actually has the second lowest O/U on the slate at 218, but it also has a one-point spread and Lillard has played 37.2 MPG since the beginning of December.

Other options – Stephen Curry, Ben Simmons, DeAaron Fox

Mid-tier options – None

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID PGs

Curry is a lot more palatable on DK where he’s under 10k, and the story is the same with Simmons and Lillard who are $200 apart. I still slightly prefer Lillard of the two, and Mike Conley is an option on DK at $7100 even though San Antonio has picked up the defense significantly. His price is too high on FD but he’s rocking a career high 27.5% usage rate. DeAaron Fox is also a LOT cheaper on DK at $7300. Remember we also add Harden to the PG mix on DK (more on him at SG).

FANDUEL TOP SHOOTING GUARD

James Harden, HOU ($13,000)

Duh. Harden’s price is tough to use at 13k, but he’s averaged 65.8 FD PPG over his last seven, and his value threshold at that price tag really isn’t near that (you’re looking for about 58 points for 13k). Portland is tenth against guards, but it really doesn’t matter. If you fade, make damn SURE it’s for Anthony Davis.

Other options – DeMar DeRozan, Jrue Holiday

Mid-tier options – Jimmy Butler, Donovan Mitchell, CJ McCollum, Klay Thompson

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID SGs

DraftKings finally got Harden off the ridiculous price tag of 11k that he’d been at, but honestly $12,200 is still far too cheap for him, especially since DK awards bonuses for 3-pointers and double/triple doubles. You’re not fading him in cash for anyone on DK, even AD. If Jimmy Butler plays, he’s a nice price tag on DK at $7000, but not a necessity. DeMar DeRozan is fresh off his first triple-double and continues to be too cheap on DK at $8300.

VALUE GUARDS

Elfrid Payton ($6200 FD/$5700 DK) is my favorite value guard of the night and will definitely be in my cash lineups. He got over 30 minutes last game and should continue to do so. Cleveland has been wire-to-wire ranked last in defensive efficiency against opposing PGs and won’t get any better with Collin Sexton playing all the minutes. Even if Jrue Holiday is running the point, Payton is still involved on the wing. Fred VanVleet ($5300 FD/$5500 DK) is also usable in cash with Kyle Lowry doubtful. He doesn’t have GPP upside, but Milwaukee allows the most 3PA in the league. Alec Burks ($4500) is a FanDuel specific punt option. He’s been seeing minutes in the upper 20s and New Orleans really struggles on the wing.

Other options – Reggie Jackson, Joe Ingles, Kyle Anderson, Ricky Rubio, Collin Sexton

FANDUEL TOP SMALL FORWARD

Kevin Durant, GS ($10,000)

Durant (like his Warriors teammates) all suffer in the usage department with everyone active and healthy, but this matchup should kick a lot of their ceilings up a good bit. Golden State has by far the highest implied total at 123 points, and the Kings rank second in pace and 27th in overall team defense. Even if (when) you pay up for Harden, you’re going to want pieces of this game.

Other options – Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kawhi Leonard

Mid-tier options – None

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID SFs

The top options are a lot cheaper on DK. Durant at $9400 seems like a steal, but it’s possible Kawhi Leonard is an even better value at $9000 (he’s more expensive that KD on FanDuel). Ben Simmons is also SF eligible on DK, as is DeMar DeRozan. They’re both fine to put in this spot. Buddy Hield ($6700) is someone else to consider in the top game environment of the night.

FANDUEL TOP POWER FORWARD

Anthony Davis, NO ($13,100)

I’ll keep this short. Anthony Davis will SAVAGE Cleveland tonight. They’re 23rd in overall defensive efficiency and have no one capable of stopping him. I still think Harden’s ownership will be higher, which makes AD the GPP play of the night. If you decide AD will outscore Harden outright, you can really gain leverage, and it’s a viable option.

Other options – Blake Griffin

Mid-tier options – Pascal Siakam, Draymond Green

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID PFs

DK isn’t much different, except for the fact that Anthony Davis is cheaper than Harden which may sway some people the other way. I still want Harden more, but I think it’s more of a debate here. The SFs mentioned above are also PF eligible on DK, and Julius Randle enters the fray at $8200 with Nikola Mirotic still out. Pascal Siakam remains underpriced on DK at $6200. It’s a tough matchup with Milwaukee (and likely Giannis), but Siakam’s usage rate has been at 25.9% without Lowry.

VALUE FORWARDS

Bogdan Bogdanovic has been playing 30 minutes per game off the bench and is another option you can use in game stacks for GS/SAC. Cedi Osman ($4800 FD/$4300 DK) is a value that can be used with Cleveland rather thin on the wing. His per minute production is volatile, but he should play at least 30 minutes against the Pelicans who rank sixth in pace, 23rd in overall team defense, and dead last against SFs. E’Twaun Moore ($4400 FD/$4300 DK) falls into a similar category where his production isn’t consistent, but the game environment boosts both his floor and ceiling.

Other options – Serge Ibaka, Kyle Anderson, PJ Tucker, Wilson Chandler, Jaren Jackson, JaMychal Green, Harrison Barnes

FANDUEL TOP CENTER

Andre Drummond, DET ($9000)

Drummond seems to be a bit better of a per-dollar value than Joel Embiid, even though the latter should have the highest raw score. Rudy Gobert never seems like the one to attack, but the Jazz surprisingly rank 20th in defensive efficiency against centers and are 17th in pace (up from their 29th ranking last year). Drummond will need to play massive minutes to body up on Gobert, and is a viable option in all formats.

Other options – Joel Embiid, Rudy Gobert, Clint Capela, Julius Randle

Mid-tier options – Willie Cauley-Stein, DeAndre Jordan

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID C’s

We’ll start with Drummond here as well, who is MASSIVELY underpriced at $7900. I’m assuming this has to do with the Gobert matchup, but Drummond’s league-leading rebounding rate should be consistently 9k and up and this price tag is a gift. Joel Embiid ($10,800) is also much more price-friendly on DK against Dallas who ranks 17th against centers. Philly has the second highest implied total behind the Warriors, and Embiid has proven he can outscore anyone (even Harden or AD). The aforementioned Davis is also C eligible on DK.

VALUE CENTERS

DeAndre Jordan doesn’t interest me on FD, but his price tag on DK ($5900) is tough to ignore. He’s facing Embiid which is scary (Embiid leads the league in FT attempts), but Jordan’s rebounding rate is top five in the league and his price is just too cheap for that. Willie Cauley-Stein is also a bit too cheap on DK at $6000. The Warriors defend the C position much better with Draymond back, but WCS is playing heavy minutes with Marvin Bagley out and this is game environment you want pieces of. There isn’t much in the way of value on FD, but Kevon Looney ($4500) can be used as a GPP punt. He outstripped his value tag in only 21 minutes last game, and gets a similar matchup against the Kings. He can also be used in GPPs on DK at $4000, but you can’t drop his score there.

Fantasy Basketball

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