FanDuel and DraftKings DFS NHL – Tuesday 3/5/19


There are 10 games on tonight’s slate. Today’s post will go through cash options for both FanDuel and DraftKings with a special focus on getting the most value out of both sites.

NOTE: I will not be available in chat leading up to lock; feel free to tag me throughout the day with any questions. I will post cash lines for both sites in chat.

TONIGHT’S SCHEDULE
FLA @ PIT – 7:00pm EST
CAR @ BOS – 7:00pm EST
CBJ @ NJD – 7:00pm EST
OTT @ NYI – 7:00pm EST
WPG @ TBL – 7:30pm EST
MIN @ NSH – 8:00pm EST
NYR @ DAL – 8:30pm EST
ANA @ ARI – 9:00pm EST
DET @ COL – 9:00pm EST
MTL @ LAK – 10:30pm EST

SUNDAY NIGHT’S RESULTS: All three FanDuel lines cashed but the DraftKings line did not. It essentially came down to pricing since San Jose’s top line was much more affordable on DraftKings. However, the only memeber of SJS1 that scored was the player primarily recommended for FanDuel (again, because of pricing). Interestingly, Dylan Strome had very low ownership on both sites but came through with a goal and five shots for 20 FD fantasy points and 5.5 DK FP. Tomas Hertl also scored a goal and came away with the same output with four shots and a block, though he was a FanDuel play with Logan Couture’s price tag being too appealing on DraftKings. Couture only managed two shots and a block for 1.5 DK FP, however, but he was popular on both sites. Joe Pavelski also had a rough night, earning just 1 DK FP with one shot and one block. Linemate Timo Meier was the one member of SJS 1 with a goal; Meier was a FanDuel pick (and a chalky one at that) who earned 16.8 FD FP with a goal and three shots. Once again, Brent Burns was a massive disappointment on both sites, earning just 12.8 FD FP and 3.5 DK FP with an assist, two shots and a block. He was chalky on both sites but definitely a letdown. This was surprising given how poorly Chicago has played defensively, especially on the penalty kill, but it was Tim Heed who had the multi-point night from the Sharks’ blue line. Patrick Kane also had a rough night; he had a difficult matchup but I figured he still had upside given how many goals San Jose has given up in recent games, especially considering how well Chicago’s power play has played. Unfortunately, Kane did not come through, which was particularly costly on FanDuel considering his $9,400 price tag (though that didn’t prevent the line from cashing). Alex DeBrincat picked up an assist on Strome’s goal, earning 12.8 FD FP on the night. Patrik Laine picked up an assist and 11.2 FD FP but was unable to fully take advantage of the four-goal night by his linemate, Blake Wheeler. Since there was late goalie news after lock, it was recommended to switch from Pekka Rinne to either Juuse Saros or Martin Jones, with the latter being the safer pick. Jones didn’t see a ton of action but stopped 28 of 30 shots and earned 26.4 FD FP and 6.6 DK FP. Tyler Myers or Jonas Brodin were the secondary defensemen across both sites. Brodin had been producing a very steady floor but did not do so against the Predators, tallying just one shot and one block for 3.2 FD FP and 1 DK FP. However, Myers was a decent floor play with three shots and two blocks for 8 FD FP and 2.5 DK FP. Ryan Donato was moved up to the top line to skate with Eric Staal and Jason Zucker, but his five-game point streak came to an end as he managed just one shot for 1.6 FD FP and 0.5 DK FP. Oliver Bjorkstrand had a slightly better night with 4.8 FD FP and 1.5 DK FP, though it was still an unhelpful contribution. Kyle Turris proved to be a great value play on DK, picking up an assist and three shots for 3.5 DK FP. I switched to Jason Zucker in one of the FanDuel lines at the last minute in order to accommodate the extra $100 required for Jones’ salary; Zucker scored a goal on two shots for 15.2 FD FP.

LAST NIGHT’S RESULTS: I did not post a line for FanDuel last night since I generally don’t play two-game slates, though I did post something for DraftKings. Unfortunately, I bet very light given the uncertainty surrounding two-game slates, so I was unable to capitalize on the big night. Hopefully at least a few decided to throw it into a contest, though. My core of Connor McDavid, Jack Eichel and Leon Draisaitl combined for 21.5 DK FP, and Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly, Jake Muzzin and Frederik Andersen also had strong nights. Conor Sheary and William Nylander did not pan out, though I still believe they were solid punt plays given their prices and recent performance (Nylander was more of a gamble but at $3,300 I was fine taking that chance). Ironically, the Maple Leafs got a hat trick from a bottom-six forward, it just wasn’t Nylander (it was Tyler Ennis).


Center

Top Play — Sidney Crosby (FD: $9,300; DK: $7,800)
Crosby has been on fire in recent games, scoring at least a goal and an assist in four straight games (four goals and six assists for 10 points) and picking up points in 10 out of his last 11 games (6-16–22). He skates on Pittsburgh’s top line and top power-play unit and, assuming Pittsburgh doesn’t pull a disappearing act as they’ve done throughout the season, he should be a strong play on both sites tonight (though much more affordable on DraftKings). Crosby has one goal and two points in two games against Florida this season but was held off the scoresheet when these teams met in Florida in early February. That being said, the Panthers haven’t been shutting teams out and Crosby will have home-ice advantage tonight. He’ll likely hard-match against Florida’s top line, which has managed a 46.15 Corsi For percentage over the last three games.

Speaking of Florida’s top line, Aleksander Barkov (FD: $7,800; DK: $7,500) continues to produce. His production has certainly taken a hit in recent games, but he’s always a threat to find the scoresheet, especially on the man advantage. Barkov has points in eight out of his last nine games (9-6–15) and gets 20-23 minutes of ice time a night. His ceiling may not be as high as other centers’, but his floor has been relatively reliable in recent games, and he remains an integral part of Florida’s offense.

Max Domi (FD: $6,100; DK: $6,300) has been a source of frustration in recent games given his inconsistency, but once again he stands out tonight given his matchup, track record and potential. Domi skates on Montreal’s second line and first power-play unit and could very well see a lot of the Kings’ top line, which has been bleeding chances. Domi generally provides a solid floor through shot volume, though he’s been held off the scoresheet in back-to-back games and in three out of his last four games. That being said, he has recorded 11 shots and one block in his last two games, earning an average of 9.6 FanDuel fantasy points per game. He is better suited for FanDuel given the number of value options on DraftKings. He has five goals and 10 points in his last eight games even though he hasn’t been finding the scoresheet every game.

It’s very difficult to know what Columbus’ lines will look like tonight against the Devils, though that’s something that could become more clear after morning skate. However, if the Blue Jackets get off to a bad start, don’t be surprised to see John Tortorella mix and match. He did so a lot the other night against Winnipeg and is not afraid to change things up during the game. The Jackets have lost back-to-back games and are currently out of the playoffs, so tonight’s game is a key one for the Ohio club. Assuming he remains on the top line, Pierre-Luc DuBois (FD: $5,300; DK: $5,700) is a strong option, especially for FanDuel considering the pricing. DuBois has one goal and three points in three games against New Jersey this season, though the current Devils roster is a shade of what it was earlier in the year. Cory Schneider has given the Devils decent goaltending on home ice in recent games, though he was quite leaky in his most recent start, giving up five goals on just 23 shots against the Flyers. Matt Duchene (FD: $6,700; DK: $6,900) is also in play, especially considering he skates on the team’s top power-play unit. He may actually be the stronger play, especially if you pair him with Cam Atkinson, since he offers the PP1 exposure and because he has two goals and five points in two games against the Devils this season. Neither center has been particularly reliable of late, but it’s definitely a matchup worth targeting, and both centers are reasonably-priced all things considered.

For value, Jordan Staal (FD: $4,300; DK: $3,500) is likely the best bang-for-your-buck option, especially on DraftKings where he is incredibly inexpensive. Staal and the Hurricanes have a very tough matchup in Boston against the Bruins, but Carolina has been playing very well, and Staal has been extremely productive since returning to the lineup. In fact, he has one goal and six points in four games, earning an average of 15 FanDuel fantasy points and 3.9 DraftKings fantasy points per game in that stretch. He skates on the Canes’ second line but has yet to be added to either of Carolina’s power-play units, which is his main downside.

There are several additional value options on both sites, many of which are listed below. As always, additional options will be discussed in chat.

Also consider
FanDuel: Nathan MacKinnon ($8,000), Tyler Seguin ($7,800), Dylan Larkin ($7,400), Vincent Trocheck ($5,400), Boone Jenner ($4,600), Brad Richardson ($3,700), Riley Sheahan ($3,600)*

DraftKings: Nathan MacKinnon ($7,900), Evgeni Malkin ($7,200), Tyler Seguin ($7,100), Mark Scheifele ($6,500), Vincent Trocheck ($5,000), Eric Staal ($4,900), Kyle Turris ($3,100), Adrian Kempe ($2,800), Riley Sheahan ($2,600)*

*Scored a point in both games against PIT after Feb. 1 trade


Winger

The hottest winger in the NHL is still Nikita Kucherov (FD: $9,200; DK: $8,000), though tonight’s matchup will be tougher with the Winnipeg Jets in town. That being said, the Jets are giving up a ton of chances, and Tampa Bay doesn’t waste too many opportunities, especially on the man advantage. Kucherov is much more affordable on DraftKings given the $1,200 difference, though he’s an expensive play on both sites. He has recorded nine goals and 25 points in his last 11 games and is averaging 20.3 FanDuel and 5.4 DraftKings fantasy points per game this season. He skates on the Lightning’s second line and top power-play unit.

UPDATE: RADULOV WILL NOT PLAY TONIGHT.
But a true value winger on FanDuel is Alexander Radulov ($5,700), who is incredibly underpriced given his production, ceiling and matchup. The Stars’ offense has been abysmal all season, but Radulov and the other top forwards on the team are more than capable of putting up big numbers. They’ll host the Rangers with Alexandar Georgiev in net, who has given up 15 goals in his last three road starts. Radulov skates on the Stars’ top line and top power-play unit and has two goals and five points in his last five games. He is averaging 15.3 FanDuel fantasy points per game this season. If you’re playing on DraftKings, Jamie Benn ($5,000) is the underpriced Stars forward to consider.

Gabriel Landeskog ($7,400) is another winger worth considering on both sites, though there’s definitely more affordable elite value at your disposal on DraftKings. Landeskog skates on Colorado’s second line and first power-play unit and has four assists, nine shots and three blocks in his last three games, earning 12.8, 26.1 and 13.3 FanDuel fantasy points and 4, 6.5 and 3.5 DraftKings fantasy points, respectively. He has earned at least 8 FanDuel and 2.5 DraftKings fantasy points in 10 straight games, and he scored a goal and an assist against Detroit earlier this season. Mikko Rantanen (FD: $7,100; DK: $7,500)

Cam Atkinson (FD: $7,300; DK: $7,100) is also worth considering for tonight’s slate, though Artemi Panarin is a cheaper alternative on DraftKings at just $6,700. Atkinson is generally the chalkier cash play on FanDuel, though. He has one point in his last three games but has five points in his last six games and is averaging 16.8 FanDuel fantasy points per game this season. He skates on Columbus’ top line and top power-play unit and has three goals and four points in three games against New Jersey this year, earning at least a point in all three contests.

Jared McCann (FD: $4,300; DK: $4,000) is a strong value option on both sites given his role on the Penguins’ top line. He offers exposure to Sidney Crosby at a very affordable price and will be skating in a revenge game against his former team. McCann has three goals and four points in his last three games, earning an average of 18.9 FanDuel and 5 DraftKings fantasy points per game in that stretch.

There are several other solid plays on both sites tonight, especially on DraftKings. Some of those options are listed below, but join us in chat this afternoon to continue the winger discussion for tonight’s slate.

Also consider
FanDuel: Brendan Gallagher ($6,900), Jake DeBrusk ($6,100), Anthony Mantha ($5,600), Jason Zucker ($4,900), Jimmy Vesey ($4,400), Oliver Bjorkstrand ($4,400), Kevin Fiala ($4,400), Craig Smith ($4,400), Ondrej Palat ($4,400), Jesper Bratt ($4,200), Ryan Donato ($3,800), Jonny Brodzinski ($3,000)

DraftKings: Brad Marchand ($7,600), Artemi Panarin ($6,700), Jake Guentzel ($6,600), Brendan Gallagher ($6,400), Zach Parise ($5,900), Jake DeBrusk ($5,400), Clayton Keller ($4,500), Jesper Bratt ($4,400), Jason Zucker ($4,400), Richard Panik ($4,200), Vinnie Hinostroza ($4,000), Oliver Bjorkstrand ($3,900), Ryan Donato ($3,700), Vladislav Namestnikov ($3,500), Kevin Fiala ($3,400), Lawson Crouse ($3,200), Jonny Brodzinski ($2,600)


Defense

Pricing is everything for defensemen on tonight’s slate, as prices vary somewhat significantly between the two main sites. For the purposes of today’s post, I’ll just focus on a few affordable options; additional recommendations will be outlined in chat.

UPDATE: Nick Leddy (FD: $3,700; DK: $3,100) is my top value play tonight. I also like Alec Martinez, Filip Hronek, Brandon Carlo and Victor Mete, who will be on MTL PP1 tonight.

One play who is comparable on both sites but still a much better play on DraftKings is Oliver Ekman-Larsson (FD: $5,100; DK: $4,600). OEL has points in five straight games and in six out of his last seven games, collecting two goals and eight points along with 13 shots and three blocks in that stretch. His peripheral stat coverage is not consistent, so he’s not a solid floor play, though he’s certainly been productive in recent games. Plus, he and the Coyotes, who have won six games in a row, have a favorable matchup at home against the Anaheim Ducks.

Justin Schultz (FD: $4,700; DK: $4,600) is coming off a terrible game, but he’s been productive in his limited action this season, earning points in five out of his last eight games. He skates on Pittsburgh’s top power-play unit and has picked up a point in two out of three home games since he returned to the lineup in mid-February.

Also consider
FanDuel: Roman Josi ($6,800), Victor Hedman ($6,200), John Klingberg ($5,900), Jacob Trouba ($4,700), Ryan Pulock ($4,500), Tyler Myers ($4,100), Mikhail Sergachev ($3,800), Sean Walker ($3,500), Mark Pysyk ($3,500)

DraftKings: Roman Josi ($6,200), Victor Hedman ($6,100), Seth Jones ($5,800), Torey Krug ($5,700), John Klingberg ($5,500), Zach Werenski ($5,000), Jacob Trouba ($4,400), Tyler Myers ($3,900), Samuel Girard ($3,200), Brandon Carlo ($2,800), Sean Walker ($2,800), Nathan Beaulieu ($2,600)


Goalie

Goalies will be discussed in chat once additional starters have been announced. For now, only Cory Schneider (NJD), Jaroslav Halak (BOS), Alexandar Georgiev (NYR) and Ben Bishop (DAL) have been confirmed.

UPDATE: I like Robin Lehner on FD (should be cash chalk), Darcy Kuemper and Andrei Vasilevskiy on DraftKings and Ben Bishop and Carey Price in general (though mainly for GPP given prices); I like John Gibson and Devan Dubnyk in GPP as well.



Join us in the FTA+ DFS NHL discord chat to discuss tonight’s slate and lineups. As a reminder, I will not be in chat leading up to lock.

Featured image credit: Peter Diana-Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

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