FanDuel and DraftKings DFS NBA Picks | 2/6/19

GPP

Last night was a raging success on DK and Yahoo (not FD), so we’re going for a clean sweep tonight. The trade buzz is in full swing with 24 hours till the deadline. We had a late blockbuster last night involving Tobias Harris going to the Sixers, and Marc Gasol’s locker is apparently cleaned out and his number taken down. In addition, Gregg Popovich has decided to rest DeRozan and Aldridge in a National TV game against Golden State. Who says the NBA is boring?? Join us in chat this evening as we discuss all the fallout, and follow me on twitter @jac3600. BEWARE MORE TRADES!

FANDUEL TOP POINT GUARD

Stephen Curry, GS ($9200)

I was all set to rock Curry in all formats against that shoddy PG defense for San Antonio, but the removal of Aldridge and DeRozan introduces serious blowout risk now (the spread is up to 13). Derrick White being out is the most important thing, however, as he’s for sure the best perimeter defender. Curry can hit value fairly quickly, and his price is not at a point where it’s prohibitive. Golden State has the highest implied team total at 122 points.

Other options – Kemba Walker, DeAaron Fox

Mid-tier options – Chris Paul, Eric Bledsoe, Kris Dunn

FANDUEL TOP SHOOTING GUARD

Bradley Beal, WAS ($9000)

We’ll talk about Harden in the DK section, but you don’t need to spend 14k on him on FD with Chris Paul active. Beal has a disappointing outing against Milwaukee two games ago, but it was a matter of his shot not falling rather than losing out on minutes or rates. Milwaukee is the top ranked defensive team but they’re also fifth in pace and allow the most 3PA in the league. Beal dominates the Washington offense, and he has a super safe floor for cash. I do like the idea of fading him in GPPs for blowout risk, as Milwaukee is favored by 11.

Other options – James Harden, Luka Doncic, Jrue Holiday, D’Angelo Russell, Donovan Mitchell

Mid-tier options – Zack LaVine, Buddy Hield, Khris Middleton

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID GUARDS

You don’t necessarily need to spend on Harden on DK either, but at $12,500 no one will fight you on it, even with Chris Paul in the mix. Sure, Harden’s usage and assist rates drop almost 10% with Paul on the court, but Harden STILL leads the league in usage anyway. The Kings rank second in pace and 18th in team defense, and more possessions for Harden naturally mean more fantasy points. He’s elite in GPP, and is cash viable if you can find enough value. Beal ($8600) carries the same explanation on DK, but his price tag here offers more value than on FD, especially since bonuses exist for 3PM. I’m also super intrigued by D’Angelo Russell ($8100) even though Allen Crabbe is expected to play. With Dinwiddie off the floor, we’ve seen Russell’s usage rate climb to 32% and his assist rate is at 41%. He’s still prone to random benchings, but he has elite upside for GPPs and is too cheap for the rates. Finally, Zack LaVine ($6600) is someone I’ll be heavily targeting at his price on DK. He’s still rocking a 28% usage rate with all of the Bulls healthy, and New Orleans ranks sixth in pace and 22nd against guards.

VALUE GUARDS

The Spurs are going to be the main go-to players for value on this slate with Aldridge and DeRozan leaving behind a combined 57% usage. Bryn Forbes ($4400/$4300) and Patty Mills ($4300/$4200) can both be used in all formats with at least 28 minutes coming for both of them. All Spurs are getting a pace boost against Golden State and they’re too thin to worry about blowouts. Marco Belinelli ($4300/$4000) is another Spurs player that should be looking at minutes in the upper 20s at least, and he had a 23% usage rate when DeRozan sat before.

Other options – Shabazz Napier, Frank Jackson, Tim Frazier, Malcolm Brogdon, Bogdan Bogdanovic, Eric Gordon

FANDUEL TOP SMALL FORWARD

Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL ($11,900)

I have Jokic as the top “overall” play, but there’s enough value on FD that you can likely squeeze in both. Giannis put up 51 FD points last game against Washington, and that was with only ten rebounds. I think we can accurately predict more tonight as the Wizards rank last in rebounding rate and give up the second most attempts within six feet of the rim. Giannis is fully priced, but a 32%/20%/29% rate slash is unrivaled by most in the NBA. Play him in all formats.

Other options – Kevin Durant

Mid-tier options – Otto Porter, Trevor Ariza

FANDUEL TOP POWER FORWARD

Kenneth Faried, HOU ($8000)

This could change as some of the players priced higher than Faried are questionable, but as it sits Faried has a matchup tailor-made for him. Sacramento is second in pace, 23rd against opposing centers, and 25th in rebounding rate. Faried has five double-doubles over his last seven, and looks in line for another one as he’s posted almost a 20% rebounding rate since joining the Rockets.

Other options – Julius Randle (GTD)

Mid-tier options – Lauri Markkanen, Marvin Bagley, Josh Jackson

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID FORWARDS

On DraftKings, Giannis ($11,400) ranks higher on the priority list than Jokic does since you can punt the center position with one of the Spurs players. Giannis is a walking double-double, and the 29% assist rate goes a long way on DK as well. Luka Doncic ($9500) is pretty much fully priced now, but he runs the ENTIRE offense now with the trades Dallas made. It’s unclear how the new Mavericks will be incorporated, but they didn’t get them to cut into Luka’s rates, and Charlotte ranks 23rd in overall team defense.

Fantasy Basketball

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