FanDuel and DraftKings DFS NBA Picks | 2/5/19

Joel Embiid holding his hands to his ears to listen to the 76ers crowd

We’re two days away from the trade deadline, so be on the lookout for anything out of the ordinary over the next 48 hours. This is a good time of year to be with FTA, as we stay ahead of the competition as news breaks, and make sure to follow us @FanTeamAdvice and me @jac3600. See you in chat tonight!

FANDUEL TOP POINT GUARD

Russell Westbrook, OKC ($12,000)

There are ten players priced $9700 and over on FD tonight, and none of them really pop as top values over the others. Westbrook is priced efficiently with Paul George basically matching him in efficiency over the last two months, but he’s a nightly triple-double threat and is still second in the NBA in usage rate to only James Harden. The Thunder have the highest team total on the slate at 118 points and Orlando has fallen all the way to 22nd in overall team defense and 25th against PGs. The last time these two teams hooked up Westbrook dropped a 23-14-14 line in 38 minutes. Game on.

Other options – Damian Lillard, Ben Simmons, Kemba Walker

Mid-tier options – Terry Rozier, Dennis Smith, Darren Collison

FANDUEL TOP SHOOTING GUARD

Lou Williams, LAC ($7700)

Lou has some serious GPP value, but there’s enough cheap plays that you don’t need to spend here in cash. Lou has been balling with Gallinari out lately, though, and his 33% usage rate over the last ten games is top ten in the NBA. Prior to last game’s dud against the Raptors, Lou had averaged 7.7 APG over the previous seven, and it also helps that Charlotte has allowed the third most bench points in the NBA.

Other options – Jimmy Butler

Mid-tier options – None

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID GUARDS

Westbrook ($11,400) has a lot more value on DK where he gets bonuses for all he does, but his counterparts are also better values here as well which muddies things a bit. Ben Simmons ($8600), Kemba Walker ($8700), and Damian Lillard ($8900) are all underpriced for their usage and skill sets, and can be used in any format. Of the three, Kemba looks the be the best investment despite coming in behind the other two in combined rates. Charlotte has the third highest team total and the Clippers rank ninth in pace and 26th against PGs. All three have great floor and ceiling combos. Jimmy Butler ($7500) is also worth a look in GPPs at his price tag with most of the Philadelphia ownership going to Embiid and Simmons.

VALUE GUARDS

It’s a Jerryd Bayless night again. Derrick Rose has already been ruled out and Jeff Teague is doubtful, which means Bayless ($5900/$5400) will once again be flirting with 40 minutes. The signing of Isaiah Canaan has not affected Bayless at all and his price does not match those minutes. The matchup isn’t great on paper, but Bayless recently dropped a 51.4-point gem on Memphis in 43 minutes. Rock him in all formats. Jaylen Brown ($5100/$4900) and Marcus Smart ($5300/$5300) are also excellent values, with Brown being the preferred target. Kyrie Irving and Marcus Morris are both out for tonight, which means a lot of minutes and usage are available on the wing. The matchup is amazing as well, as Cleveland ranks dead last in overall team defense and has been last against guards the entire season. On the other side of the ball, Jordan Clarkson ($5400/$5200) is interesting. He has posted a 28% usage rate off the bench this year for the Cavs and he should be looking at boosts across the board with Rodney Hood traded away to Portland.

Other options – Andrew Wiggins, Justin Holiday, Collin Sexton, Alec Burks, Tony Parker, Cory Joseph, Jeremy Lamb

FANDUEL TOP SMALL FORWARD

LeBron James, LAL ($10,800)

With Kyle Lowry likely back for the Raptors, Kawhi Leonard takes a hit. LeBron still has some mystery to him as the Lakers are easing him back, but they need wins. Like…now. Indiana is a strong defensive unit but LeBron is basically matchup-proof. On his return two games ago, he immediately played 40 minutes, just missed a triple-double, and logged a 35.5% usage rate. He’s a great GPP option, but not needed in cash.

Other options – Paul George, Kawhi Leonard

Mid-tier options – Tobias Harris

FANDUEL TOP POWER FORWARD

Blake Griffin, DET ($9200)

I have a feeling people will flock to Griffin tonight. I’m undecided on my own approach to this as of now since there are such good cheap values at PF, but I don’t argue Blake at all in any format. His price is down as his FG% has taken a dip lately, but the minutes and rates are still there and the matchup can’t get much better. The Knicks are 28th in overall team defense and are last against PFs. Their trade shouldn’t do much to improve their defense, and Blake could go bonkers tonight.

Other options – None

Mid-tier options – Montrezl Harrell, Pascal Siakam, Jayson Tatum, Larry Nance, Thaddeus Young

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID FORWARDS

Griffin ($8800) is really going to be the flavor of the night on DK, and he should be considered a top target in all formats. However, Paul George’s price is inexplicably back down on DK $10,200. As I said, he’s matchup Westbrook game for game in usage, and Orlando ranks 29th against opposing SFs. People are still inexplicably hesitant to roster him since he plays alongside Westbrook but there is no reason not to. Also, remember that Ben Simmons ($8600) has SF eligibility on DK and is arguably the best forward value up top.

VALUE FORWARDS

It’s back to Boston we go for the premier value plays at forward. Gordon Hayward ($5000/$5000) should soak up a lot of Marcus Morris’ wing minutes and we are hopefully looking at 30+ tonight (it would be even better if he starts). The Cavs rank 28th against opposing SFs. Daniel Theis ($3900/$3500) offers us an excellent option as a punt play on both sites. With Morris sidelined, Theis could be looking at 23-25 minutes which is more than enough to hit value against an awful Cleveland defense. Theis has averaged over a fantasy point per minute this year. Jayson Tatum ($6600/$5800) is more of a DK specific play, but the same rules apply. Larry Nance ($6300/$5800) should also be considered in the same game. Nance saw 24 and 27 minutes the last two games and crushed it in both. If we get 30 out of him tonight, he’s far too cheap, and Rodney Hood’s departure should help him in this quest.

Other options – Josh Richardson, Bojan Bogdanovic, Nicolas Batum, Jaren Jackson, Marvin Williams, Al-Farouq Aminu, Kelly Olynyk

FANDUEL TOP CENTER

Joel Embiid, PHI ($11,600)

Embiid is arguably the top overall play on this slate. The matchup is tough on paper as Toronto is sixth in overall team defense and 12th against centers, but these two teams are ranked in the top half in pace with a close spread and a 228 O/U which is the highest on the slate. Embiid is averaging an incredible 1.57 FPPM this season and should be looking at 36 minutes in this one.

Other options – Karl-Anthony Towns, Nikola Vucevic, Andre Drummond

Mid-tier options – Myles Turner, Hassan Whiteside, Steven Adams

DRAFTKINGS TOP/MID C’s

Embiid continues to remain massively underpriced on DK at $10,500 – he has a 36% usage rate over his last ten games and this one’s going to be super competitive. He’s my high-priced priority on DK. Karl-Anthony Towns ($9700) is also very viable in cash even in a tough matchup against the Grizzlies. Rose is out again which means bonkers rates for Towns, and $9700 is ridiculous. We can’t get out of a DraftKings blurb without Andre Drummond either. He’s $8300, which is silly for having the highest rebounding rate in the league, and he faces a Knicks squad that’s 22nd against centers and 27th in rebounding rate.

VALUE CENTERS

Myles Turner ($7300/$6500) is the only one of any cheap plays at C that I’m all that interested in, and now it’s come out that he’s questionable as well. If Turner does in fact play, he has a terrific matchup against the Lakers who are third in pace and 25th against centers. If Turner sits, we can throw Kyle O’Quinn into the mix, but the real beneficiaries would be Damontas Sabonis (who would become a lock) and Thaddeus Young. Daniel Theis is also C eligible on DK which helps if you’re prioritizing other high-priced plays besides Embiid or Towns.

Other options – Cody Zeller, JaVale McGee, Joakim Noah, Mike Muscala

Fantasy Basketball

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