We’re onto the playoffs after a phenomenal regular season in NFL DFS and what better than to target a four game slate like this one. The games aren’t overly filled with great fantasy plays but that why we’re here at FTA to help all of you out. We were recently ranked first for NFL analysts by dailyoverlay.com, which is a huge honor! I will be on chat throughout the weekend to help of all of you with cash and showdown plays for all the slates. You can also find me on Twitter, @NotMyCousin, as well.
These plays are for the DraftKings Sat-Sun Main slate
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans, Saturday 4:25pm, 48 o/u
This will be the third time these teams face each other this season and it also has the highest implied total of the weekend. Starting off on the Colts side of the ball, Andrew Luck scored 27.56 and 39.66 DK points in his two games vs the Texans this season. He has an extremely high floor at $6,400 and comes in as the weekend’s second highest salaried quarterback. The Texans are best defending the run so Marlon Mack ($6,000) is GPP only for me at that price. Meanwhile, Nyheim Hynes ($3,500), is a nice value to look at with his PPR upside and can be used as a cash punt. He has averaged six targets the last five weeks which gives him a nice floor for that salary. The Colts pass catchers you’ll want to look at for cash this week are TY Hilton ($7,800) and Eric Ebron ($5,200). Hilton has been banged up but looks like he’s going to play. Ebron, meanwhile, seems like the guy I want to target at a very thin position. He’s just been so consistent all season.
The Texans are only three point favorites at home which means the game will be very close. DeShaun Watson comes in as our highest salaried quarterback of the weekend at $6,700. He is a great option but in my opinion you don’t have to go that high in cash. If you do, you need to pair him with Deandre Hopkins ($8,700) who also comes in as the highest salaried player at his position. Hopkins has been smashing the last three weeks averaging 31 DK points per game in that span. He struggled against the Colts his last time out scoring only 13.6 DK points but scored 35.9 DK points against them in week four. The last guy to keep an eye on is Deandre Carter ($3,300) incase Keke Coutee sits. He could provide us a great value if he’s Watson’s second option, he saw five and seven targets his last two games.
Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys, Saturday 8:15pm, 43 o/u
The Seahawks M/O this season has been to run the ball as much as they possibly can. It will be interesting to see if this works against the league’s fifth best run defense of 2018. Russell Wilson is GPP only for me. His upside at $5,700 is solid but he doesn’t pass or use his legs as much as he did in the past. With the volume coming his way Chris Carson ($6,800) is certainly in play for cash even in a tough match-up. He hasn’t had less than 20 touches the last four weeks and sees all the goal line work. The only downside is he is spelled for Mike Davis in some parts of the game and doesn’t really have PPR upside. The Seahawks pass catchers, Doug Baldwin ($6,200) and Tyler Lockett ($5,300), are also GPP only for me. If you were to consider one for cash though I’d go the cheaper Lockett. He has consistently put up double digit DK points on limited targets so the efficiency and big play ability is there.
The first guy you’re going to want to lock in this weekend is easily Ezekiel Elliott ($9,000). He is the weekend’s highest salaried player but he also has the highest floor and ceiling of anyone on the slate. We have preached volume, especially at the running back position, and Zeke led the league in touches this season. The only two parts of the passing game you’re really going to want to target are Dak Prescott ($5,500) and Amari Cooper ($7,500). People will flock to Dak because of that price tag, I just don’t trust him in cash. His play is way too volatile for me. Cooper is also a volatile play. He has the upside but that’s a steep price for inconsistency. People will be on Blake Jarwin ($3,300) after his 39.9 DK point outburst from a week ago, I’m staying away. He hasn’t seen production anything like that this year which makes me think those kind of point totals aren’t sustainable. He’s definitely a tournament fade and I’d rather have the consistency of Ebron even at a much higher price.
Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens, Sunday 1:05pm, 41.5 o/u
These two teams played each other just two weeks ago and the Chargers could not move the ball at all against this stout Ravens defense. Outside of Melvin Gordon ($7,700), all the Chargers offensive players in my eyes are GPP targets only. Phillip Rivers ($5,900) couldn’t be protected at all against this front seven, he was sacked four times and turned the ball over twice. Gordon hasn’t looked the same since returning from injury, his first game back was against Baltimore where he scored a touchdown but had a pretty forgettable game other than that.
There are really only two Ravens I want to touch on for cash, but both are extremely solid plays. The first is Lamar Jackson ($5,800) who continues to be mispriced on DraftKings just for his rushing upside alone. He is essentially a third or fourth running back for you with passing upside. We saw his ceiling last week against the Browns where he scored 27.16 DK points, scoring two rushing touchdowns. If you don’t go one of Luck or Watson, I suggest looking at Jackson as your cash QB. The second is the Ravens DST ($3,000) which we kind of touched on in the first section. They scored 20 DK points against the Chargers two weeks ago, forcing three turnovers and sacking Rivers four times.
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears, Sunday 4:40pm, 41 o/u
The weekend’s lowest totaled game and for good reason, this Bears defense is legit. The Eagles come in as seven point underdogs. You can make arguments for some guys (Ertz, Foles, Jeffrey) in tournaments, there’s only one Eagle I want to look at for cash games. That player is Nelson Agholor ($3,800). A forgotten man when Carson Wentz was starting, Agholor has seen an uptick of production with Nick Foles under center. He has scored 25.6 and 21 DK points the last two weeks, each on five targets. He certainly has a tough matchup but that price is nice for how good he’s been playing.
The Eagles defense is susceptible through the air but Mitch Trubisky ($6,300) doesn’t really intrigue me at that price. He has some nice pass catching options in Allen Robinson ($5,600), Tarik Cohen ($5,400) and Taylor Gabriel ($4,500), which can all be looked at in all formats. One guy I’m also looking at is Jordan Howard ($4,600) who saw a resurgence of production at the end of the season. He has scored double digit points in the last four weeks and had 20 or more touches in three of those four weeks. His price is nice for what seems to be steady volume and red zone volume. The Bears DST ($3,400) is also very viable, they come in as the slate’s highest priced defense.Fantasy Football