As primarily a cash game player, I wanted to start this series so we can go over my NFL cash lineup from the weekend before. This could show my process to everyone reading over the course of the week and might be able to help me and everyone else get better on a week-to-week basis. We could potentially pick out what we did right, what we did wrong, and be better for it.
We fared a bit better this past week then we did in week five but it still ended up as a losing week. In this review we will talk about our process in week six and how some locks may have clouded our judgements on some other plays.
- Typically in cash I like setting a floor of 70 or so touches for three running backs. I do this by paying up for two top tier backs and a value one in my flex. This week I decided to go against this mold and paid up at receiver. Julio Jones was the first guy I wanted in my line and it worked out handsomely for us. Jones literally can’t find the end-zone but paid off his $7,900 salary with ease scoring 27.3 DK points in week six. I mentioned in my article last week that Jones averages 23.14 DK points in 17 career games when priced under $8,000 and this trend held true.
- My next lock was Jarvis Landry at $6,600 and man was that a disappointment. I mentioned that locks sometimes cloud our judgement on players and this was the example I wanted to use. I looked at Tyler Boyd as my third favorite receiver all week but wouldn’t sacrifice the $600 from Landry because of how much I liked him. Well Landry scored a measly 3.1 DK points while Boyd scored 25.2 DK points, a 22.1 point swing. It remains to be seen what I would have done with the remaining salary but this one hurt us.
- Back to the running backs, TJ Yeldon was my third lock and he didn’t kill us but didn’t do what we hoped he would either. The problem was the Jaguars absolutely getting stomped by the Cowboys so they abandoned the run very quickly. Yeldon only had eight carries in the game and most of his ten points came from the receiving game.
- Our last and best lock of the week was Jameis Winston. As we thought he would, Winston went absolutely off against the mediocre Atlanta defense scoring 35.9 DK points, which was 6x his salary. The theme this year has been to attack this Falcons defense as they have the offense to stay with teams so the games with stay close. This is certainly where his ceiling can be but his floor is very scary.
- Throughout the week I honestly had no idea what I wanted to do at running back after Yeldon. Like I mentioned 70 combined touches is the goal but I couldn’t seem to get there with salary constraints being locked to Julio and Landry. I tried to get up to Gurley but didn’t love my line outside him. I talked about McCaffrey last week but cooled on him during the week. The mistake was fading Melvin Gordon. The narrative I didn’t like was the Chargers traveling west to east for a 1:00 p.m. start time and man did that kill us. Gordon went off for 38 DK points including three touchdowns. At this point in the season, guys like Gordon need to be set it and forget it plays.
- Coming off guys like CMC and Gordon lead us to playing Joe Mixon and Tevin Coleman. Mixon I liked all week as a guy in that mid-tier that would get me the touches and had all red zone looks. He did well scoring 18.4 DK points almost hitting 3x. The downfall was Tevin Coleman who just seemingly looks out of that Falcons offense. He only carried the ball 10 times and fell into the end-zone late to give us some point relief but it wasn’t enough. Even worse he was only targeted twice in the game so his PPR upside seems shot as well. He was the one guy I was looking to get off of Sunday morning but couldn’t seem to do so and it hurt us.
- In hindsight the play was Latavius Murray. It seems easy to say now because Murray did well but in a week when salary was so tight we should have came off Tevin and went down to Murray. That would have made a world of difference most likely.
- The 3v3 I had to deal with Sunday morning was Mixon/Uzomah/Ravens D which combined for 50.8 DK points or Boyd/Njoku/Bears D which got 45.7 points so that decision worked in our favor. The Bears defense was being hyped up Sunday morning as “THE” defense to play since Brock Osweiler but what happened was they only scored five points. This is why I don’t prioritize defenses over players in cash. In a sport with so much variance anything can happen and even more so with defenses.
We almost hit our 55% head-to-head goal but fell a bit shy. Again the process was seemingly good we just didn’t have guys perform (Landry, Yeldon) that we needed to. We will continue to look for 70 touches and 25 or so targets going forward.
Week 6: 144.5 points, won 48 percent of head-to-heads
Week 5: 121.52 points, won 22 percent of head-to-heads
Week 4: 213.18 points, won 79 percent of head-to-headsFantasy Football