As primarily a cash game player, I wanted to start this series so we can go over my NFL cash lineup from the weekend before. This could show my process to everyone reading over the course of the week and might be able to help me and everyone else get better on a week-to-week basis. We could potentially pick out what we did right, what we did wrong, and be better for it.
In my opinion, week four was one of the easier weeks to digest for cash games. There were multiple value options at receiver which allowed us to pay up for high volume and ceiling running backs. The only real difficult thing was to pick what studs and values to hone in on.
- The first player I entered into my lineup was Gio Bernard. Bernard was in a smash spot, as I wrote about in my plays article last week, and was still way too cheap for the amount of volume he was about to get. Gio exploded for 25.6 DK points in the Atlanta/Cincinnati shootout. Atlanta had allowed 29 total catches in weeks two and three to opposing running backs but surprisingly, most of Gio’s production came on the ground against them. Bernard only totaled 4 catches for 27 yards through the air but scored twice on the ground with 69 rushing yards. As long as Joe Mixon is out, Gio is certainly someone to target.
- As mentioned above, value receiver was the place to be in cash and the chalk didn’t disappoint. I had both Sterling Shepard and Tyler Boyd in my line since the beginning of the week and they combined for 49.7 DK points. Both have seen increased roles and the volume was way too big to pass up for both. Shepard caught a nice TD early and added 77 receiving yards on 10 receptions, something we knew would be a possibility with the injury to Evan Engram. Boyd started off slow but turned it around for an amazing second half. He hit the 100 yard bonus on the Bengals last drive and hauled in 11 catches on a team leading 15 targets.
- Eric Ebron at tight end and Chicago defense were the other pieces of chalk we decided to eat. Both were over 50% owned in the $50 single entry double up. Ebron might be the most frustrating player to own because he can go quarters without doing anything but he paid off handsomely after Andrew Luck decided to explode in the second half of the Indy/Houston game. Meanwhile, the Bears defense was just too cheap for the home spot they were in against the pass happy Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Their $2600 price tag allowed for extreme roster flexibility.
- In my article last week I highlighted Baker Mayfield as my potential QB and he was actually it for most of the week. It wasn’t until Thursday morning when I came off Baker to go to Matt Ryan and then eventually Andy Dalton for only $100 more than Baker on Sunday morning. My fear was playing three Bengals in cash but Dalton smashed value going for almost 6x his price. Meanwhile, Ryan hit 32.26 DK points and Mayfield got 16.80 so ultimately our process was right to come off Mayfield for cash. I would have stayed on Ryan if I could have but roster flexibility didn’t allow it. Ultimately I love the talent Mayfield brings, but as a rookie in his first NFL start, he was too risky to play in cash.
- On Sunday morning we learned Randall Cobb would be out for the Packers so the obvious move was to play Geronimo Allison (amazing name by the way) against the Bills. Allison had a respectable 6 catches for 80 yards before he left the game due to injury. The injury didn’t kill us, however, since he already made it to 3x his value.
- Before pivoting to Allison, I had Antonio Callaway locked in as my WR3. Callaway essentially busted as he only scored 8.4 points but Baker barely missed him on what would have been two long TD’s. This shows us that Callaway may see some targets but he looks like he will be a pure boom-or-bust tournament play.
- The one regret I have on the line was swapping Ezekiel Elliott to Saquon Barkley after having excess budget from moving Ryan to Dalton on Sunday morning. Barkley didn’t disappoint by any means scoring 22 DK points but I absolutely LOVED Zeke all week and came off him against my better judgement. The regret isn’t playing Saquon, who scored 15 less DK points than Zeke, the regret is not sticking to my gut on someone I knew would do well. Luckily I had plenty of Zeke exposure in tournaments.
Overall I am very happy with the way this line turned out. As I mentioned before, it seemed easy from the get go and the process was sound we just needed the chalk to do well. I didn’t mention Kamara but honestly what more can you say about the guy. It’ll be interesting to see what the Saints do now that Mark Ingram is coming back from suspension and how DK will start pricing him if he has reduced snap counts.
Week 4: 213.18 points, won 79 percent of head-to-headsFantasy Football