s primarily a cash game player, I wanted to start this series so we can go over my NFL cash lineup from the weekend before. This could show my process to everyone reading over the course of the week and might be able to help me and everyone else get better on a week-to-week basis. We could potentially pick out what we did right, what we did wrong, and be better for it.
Finally we’re back on a win streak. We are currently 6-2 on the year in cash in terms of profitable weeks and this was our best week since week two. There were a lot of nice games and options on the slate that made our lineup construction pretty straight forward.
- A couple weeks ago I talked about wanting 70 or so touches from my three running backs and this week was no different. Friday I made the decision to fade Todd Gurley, something we will talk about in the close calls section, in order to get two of my three favorite mid-tier backs. Those backs were James Conner, Kareem Hunt and Joe Mixon and I ended up picking the first two. Conner exploded for 41.2 DK points and Hunt hit value at 19.6. Mixon over Hunt would have been the call as he scored 31.8 DK points, 12 more than Hunt.
- AJ Green was my favorite overall play of the week and he barely missed out on hitting value. He was the reason I decided to go Hunt over Mixon and I stick with the process just because of how much upside Green has. The Bucs also rank last against opposing receivers so that was also part of the decision. Tyler Boyd ended up being the Bengals receiver to choose as he outscored Green 31.6-18.6.
- I knew all week I’d either have Jared Goff or Aaron Rodgers in cash at quarterback and luckily we made the right call. The game had the highest total on the slate heading into Sunday and Goff outscored Rodgers by nine points.
- My last lock of the week was Robert Woods who I didn’t really have until Saturday night. I really wanted both him and Green but couldn’t seem to fit him in. We will talk about that process in close calls as well, but Woods was way too cheap at sub 7k. Unfortunately he didn’t even hit 2x his price but I just couldn’t ignore the spot.
- As I mentioned above, we decided to fade Todd Gurley which is always a scary thought because of his supreme floor and ceiling. Most of the week I had him and Kareem Hunt as my two RB’s but just couldn’t get past wanting James Conner who I thought was in an equally great spot at a big discount. Luckily for us Conner went bonkers and Gurley had a typical Gurley game scoring 36.4 to Conner’s 41.2.
- After I decided to go Conner over Gurley I had a little over $2,000 to work with. I had a lot of combinations I tried out but my 3v3 Saturday night ended up being Crowell/Nelson/Howard over Richard/Watkins/Uzomah.
- The big mistake here was going Jordy Nelson over Sammy Watkins. I said in my write up last week that I loved Watkins but decided to go for what I thought was the safer floor in Jordy Nelson over the boom or bust Watkins. Well Watkins was tied for first as the highest scoring receiver on the week with 33.7 DK points while Jordy only scored 2.4 DK points. This Raiders team is in shambles and it might be worth it to stay away for awhile. Luckily that 31.3 point difference didn’t matter.
- Speaking of the Raiders, I liked Jalen Richard all week as a GPP value so I ended up off him in cash in favor of Isaiah Crowell. The uncertainty of Richard’s place in the Oakland backfield made me uneasy for his floor and I figured Crow would have the chance at a lot of volume with no Bilal Powell anymore in New York. Sadly game-script went against Crow but since his price was so cheap he didn’t kill us managing only 1x his salary.
- The last piece of the 3v3 though worked in our favor. We were able to come up the $400 to get to OJ Howard who I loved all week over CJ Uzomah. Howard scored a solid 16.8 DK points as opposed to Uzomah’s 0. Yes ZERO points. That would have killed my week if I had stayed there and luckily we were able to get up to him.
The process and the slate was great this week and we could have had an even better week if we stayed with a couple other plays. We will continue to look for 70 targets from our running backs and 20-25 targets from our receiving options.
Week 8: 148.9 points, won 83 percent of head-to-heads
Week 7: 122.2 points, won 64 percent of head-to-heads
Week 6: 144.5 points, won 48 percent of head-to-heads
Week 5: 121.52 points, won 22 percent of head-to-heads
Week 4: 213.18 points, won 79 percent of head-to-headsFantasy Football