Draftkings NBA Wednesday 12/6/17

Klay Thompson holding up three fingers after nailing a shot for the Golden State Warriors

Ready for Draftkings NBA Wednesday? We have 10 games on tap, so lets take an early look at the cash game plays.  Be sure to follow along with the live updates on our DFS NBA spreadsheet and get cash / GPP DK lineup feedback in our DFS chatroom leading up to tip off!

Draftkings NBA Wednesday 12/6

Point Guard

Jrue Holiday – New Orleans Pelicans ($6,600)

Rondo could also be the play here, but it’s genuinely concerning for his fantasy value that he’s not playing over 30 minutes yet, making me think a trap game is coming soon. Meanwhile, since the AD injury against Utah, Jrue has played 38 minutes in back to back games and has taken 18 and 21 shots. His usage goes up by 2.3% with AD off the court (who is doubtful tonight), and I think we should see that rise a bit more tonight against a fast paced Denver (guards benefit more in uptempo games) team that ranks 21st in defensive efficiency. Denver does have Gary Harris on the wing, who has a .76 DRPM, but that has not showed in their DvP numbers or helped their overall defensive efficiency. Denver is also missing their defensive stalwart, Nikola Jokic (2,59 DRPM) tonight and the Pellies own the highest projected team total on the night 113.25. Jrue’s floor and ceiling are way too high to ignore in cash games and tournaments alike.

Other options: Victor Oladipo, Kyrie Irving, Kemba Walker, Lou Williams, Austin Rivers, Darren Collison, Rajon Rondo, Jamal Murray, JJ Barea, Garrett Temple, Shaun Livingston/Patrick McCaw (whoever starts)

Shooting Guard

Klay Thompson – Golden State Warriors ($7,400)

We’re naturally going to want some Golden State exposure with Steph Curry and his 30.3% usage rate out tonight. This game is in Charlotte and is expected to remain close with a spread of just 5 (also has the highest total of the night). Thompson went for 36.25 last game without Steph against Sacramento, and although the on/off tool doesn’t do him any favors, I think the sample size is too small to draw any solid conclusions. The bottom line for me is that he’s the cheapest Warrior, he’ll avoid MKG on defense, this game should remain close, and his usage will undoubtedly increase tonight. At 7.4k he’s a rock solid cash game option, although in tournaments I doubt I’ll play much of him.

Other options: Victor Oladipo, Tyreke Evans, Jimmy Butler, Lou Williams, Jrue Holiday, Austin Rivers, Nicolas Batum, Jonathan Simmons, Jamal Murray, JJ Barea, E’Twaun Moore

Small Forward

E’Twaun Moore – New Orleans Pelicans ($4,200)

DraftKings pricing is really slacking right now. Moore is coming off of 30.3, 22.8, and 39.5 DK point games with AD out, and is still just priced at $4,200. The Pelicans have the highest projected team total of the night and face off with the 13th fastest pace team in the league, who also rank 21st in defensive efficiency. Moore will likely be very chalky again, however it should be noted that Denver has been strong against the SF position, allowing the 10th fewest FPPG to the position. Still, with AD off the court Moore has a +2.4% usage differential and is clearly benefiting from an increased offensive role. He’s also locked into 35+ minutes right now meaning that at $4,200 he’s going to be one of the highest owned cash game plays of the night on DK. Fade at your own risk.

Other options: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Durant, Tyreke Evans, Thad Young, Nicolas Batum, Jonathan Simmons, Darius Miller, Patrick McCaw (if he starts)

Power Forward

Mason Plumlee – Denver Nuggets ($4,700)

First off, this guy is a starting caliber C in the NBA. No he can’t shoot, but he’s a good defender, plays smart and has lots of #grit. Remember, he was consistently priced at $6-$7000 when he was starting for the Portland Trailblazers last year. Jokic is out again tonight meaning Plumlee will draw the start at C. Last game looks terrible for Plumlee, especially after he let down SO many people, but there were a few factors influencing his limited playing time. Dallas loves to play small, and did consistently. Not only that, but Denver fell behind early in that game meaning they had to play a smaller lineup that could score and catch up as well as match Dallas’ small lineups. Those two reasons combined mean less court time for Plumlee. Tonight is a bit of a different story where Plumlee’s services will be needed to stop the Boogie man down low. Denver has no one else that can even remotely matchup with him defensively right now. Assuming he can avoid serious foul trouble (not a guarantee), he’s in line for 30+ minutes. The Pels aren’t a great matchup, but at $4,700 he is woefully underpriced and will likely be lower owned than he should be in a…plum spot (see what I did there?).

Other options: DeMarcus Cousins, LeBron James, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Love, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Taj Gibson, Thad Young, Zach Randolph, Kenneth Faried

Center

DeMarcus Cousins – New Orleans Pelicans ($11,300)

So, yeah, 4 of my favorite cash game plays are from this NO/DEN game. Not ideal, but DK is doing such a bad job of pricing players that you just can’t avoid Moore and Jrue (and arguably Rondo, but I had to fade one). Meanwhile, Cousins is still too cheap for the usage bump he receives with AD out. On the season, Cousins averaged a +5.8 DK point differential and +4.8% usage differential when AD is off he court. His price has barely risen, and he should be considered a near lock for 50+ DK points in a good home matchup with the Jokic-less Nuggets. Mason Plumlee has a middling .59 DRPM (compared to 2.59 for Jokic), and the Nugs have allowed the 2nd most points in the paint over their last 3 games (all without Jokic).

Other options: Andre Drummond, Kevin Love, Marc Gasol, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Nikola Vucevic, Al Horford, DeAndre Jordan, Zach Randolph, Kenneth Faried, Mason Plumlee, John Henson

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