DraftKings cash plays for Saturday 11/11/17
Welcome back readers as Draftkings NBA presents us with a terrific 11 game slate tonight. I’ll touch on the top cash game plays at each position, but remember the suggested plays can change drastically by tipoff as injury news and lineup changes can affect usage and fantasy point output. We update our NBA projections LIVE leading up to tip and also provide live lineup feedback in our DFS chat all for one low monthly price (NFL is included as well).
Dennis Smith Jr. – Dallas Mavericks ($5,400)
I think people will begin realizing how good this kid is pretty soon, but tonight is probably our last opportunity to get him for under $6,000 on DraftKings. I’ll start off by saying that Cleveland has been a cupcake matchup for point guards all season, as they’ve allowed the 10th most FPPG to the position. When you look at some of Cleveland’s recent opponents you have to get a little excited for Smith Jr. tonight. Harden dropped an 80 spot, Schroder went for over 40 DK points, Wall went for 50, and Brogdon/Giannis each had blowups. Cleveland ranks DEAD last in defensive efficiency on the season and is showing no signs that they’re improving on that end. Smith Jr. also has the 14th highest usage rate in the NBA (29.6%), sandwiched between Kyrie Irving and Victor Oladipo. That’s absurd for a rookie. We saw him go for over 45 DK points against Washington on the road in a very difficult matchup, so I fully expect DSJ to have his official breakout game tonight at home. The minutes are the only minor concern for me here, but when you consider his absurd usage rate and matchup I think he’s well worth the risk tonight.
Other options: Steph Curry, Ben Simmons, Jeff Teague, Jrue Holiday, Mike Conley, Eric Bledsoe, Lou Williams, Emmanuel Mudiay, Patty Mills, Frank Ntilinka
Lou Williams – Los Angeles Clippers ($5,300)
There are some solid options at shooting guard tonight, but no doubt that Lou Williams will be one of, if not the most, chalkiest. He’s coming off a game where he was >60% owned in cash games and gave everyone 50 DK points and because he’s on a back-to-back his price hasn’t gone up. Patrick Beverley remains out, meaning Lou should see in excess of 30 minutes tonight in a net positive matchup against some combination of Jrue Holiday, E’Twaun Moore and Jameer Nelson on defense. Williams actually didn’t start last game, which I think worked in his favor as he got going against the OKC bench, and then finished the halves. The Pelicans rank a middling 15th in defensive efficiency, but are 7th in pace unlike years past. Williams is also aided by the difficult spot his teammate Blake Griffin has against AD. This is not a matchup to fear by any means for Williams, and we should expect Lou to continue chucking tonight (and improve on his 23rd highest usage rate in the league) and provide us with an extremely safe floor and high ceiling for cash games, which is what we’re all shooting for. No pun intended.
Other options: Brad Beal, Jimmy Butler, Klay Thompson, Jrue Holiday, Eric Bledsoe, Tyreke Evans, Dennis Smith Jr., Rodney Hood, JJ Redick, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Wesley Matthews, Tony Snell
Giannis Antetokounmpo – Milwaukee Bucks ($11,200)
Hot take alert: Giannis is a strong cash play at home against the Lakers. I think if you’re paying up for studs tonight Giannis, followed by KAT is the play. Giannis has yet to score under 43 DK points (which was in a blowout loss to OKC). The Lakers are by no means an imposing matchup despite somehow ranking a very respectable 6th overall in defensive efficiency. They still play at the 3rd fastest pace in the NBA, which helps Giannis, and also allow the 3rd most points in the paint. It’s too early in the season to worry about b2b’s, so don’t overthink it and jam in Giannis and his virtual lock for 50 DK points tonight. It’s important to also know that the Lakers have given up the 4th most points to opposing starters, so don’t read too much into their defensive numbers.
Other options: LeBron James, Ben Simmons, Khris Middleton, Andrew Wiggins, Otto Porter, Robert Covington, Harrison Barnes, Wesley Matthews, Rodney Hood, JJ Redick, Wesley Johnson, Luke Babbitt
Kevin Love – Cleveland Cavaliers ($7,300)
I truly believe Love is one of the highest floor, best per dollar, and safest plays on the slate. It seemed like Cleveland was finally utilizing him in the right way against Milwaukee a few nights ago, and was on his way to another solid game against Houston, but found himself in bad foul trouble. He oddly ranks outside the top 50 in usage rate in the NBA considering his top 25 PER, but like I said, it looks like he’s finally trending in the right direction as Cleveland knows they have to get him more involved in the offense. What I should have also mentioned in DSJ’s section is that both Dallas and Cleveland rank in the bottom 3 in defensive efficiency on the season. If I was betting on this game I’d go for the over. Love should matchup against Dirk or Harrison Barnes, which is far from imposing, and should help his rebound numbers. Dallas continues to be terrible rebounding the ball in general, ranking 3rd worst in the NBA in rebound rate. They’ve also allowed the 12 most FPPG to the power forward position on the season. Also remember that Dallas prefers to play small and Love is a perfect small ball center in this matchup.
Other options: Giannis Antetokounmpo, LeBron James, LaMarcus Aldridge, Draymond Green, Otto Porter, Harrison Barnes, Alex Len, Taj Gibson, Dario Saric, Wesley Johnson, Luke Babbitt
Nikola Jokic – Denver Nuggets ($8,400)
I really was going to write up Alex Len first, and there’s probably room for both him and Jokic tonight in your cash lineups, but Jokic is one of the few studs tonight with a 60+ fantasy point ceiling. The Magic allow the 5th most points and 7th most rebounds to the Center position and are traveling into Denver on a back-to-back. This game currently has the 2nd highest total on the night at 220, and I’d think would remain close. The Magic were also just roasted by Alex Len for 43 DK points, and in general allow the 10th most FPPG to the Center position. If you exclude the blowout against GS where he played 20 minutes and the poor, foul plagued game (in a tough matchup) against OKC where he also only played 28 minutes, he’s averaging 55 DK points through his last 7 games. He’s clearly underpriced given he only needs 42 DK points to hit 5x value. In Jokic’s last game against Orlando he went off for 30/10/5.
Other options: Karl Anthony-Towns, Rudy Gobert, Lamarcus Aldridge, Draymond Green, Kevin Love, Alex Len, Taj Gibson, Dario Saric, John HensonDaily NBA, DFS Lineup Advice