FTA Fantasy Team Advice http://fantasyteamadvice.com Fantasy football, baseball and basketball community featuring 40+ writers and active forums Mon, 01 Sep 2014 18:45:03 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.9.2 NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool Pickshttp://fantasyteamadvice.com/nfl-week-1-survivor-pool-picks/ http://fantasyteamadvice.com/nfl-week-1-survivor-pool-picks/#comments Mon, 01 Sep 2014 18:43:11 +0000 http://fantasyteamadvice.com/?p=39762 FTA Fantasy Team Advice
NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool Picks

Welcome to Week 1 of the Survivor Pool Picks article! I personally love Survivor Pools and have been running one for 6 years. For those of you who do not know what a Survivor Pool, it’s called a survivor pool because it goes until there is one person standing. This pool has some twists from […]

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NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool Picks

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FTA Fantasy Team Advice
NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool Picks

Welcome to Week 1 of the Survivor Pool Picks article! I personally love Survivor Pools and have been running one for 6 years. For those of you who do not know what a Survivor Pool, it’s called a survivor pool because it goes until there is one person standing. This pool has some twists from your average pool that require strategy and forward vision. You only select one team a week and most importantly once you select a team, you cannot select them for the rest of the regular season (if the pool runs into the playoffs, everything resets).

I will feature my Top Pick (I will follow the rules and never select them again in future articles) and I will also select 3 other teams to consider plus one to avoid. As you can probably imagine, going “chalk” is not really the best idea as scores of people are eliminated by a single upset. Don’t be that person!! I will also display the % of people that have picked a team for this week.

Here are my NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool Picks

% picked
Top PickPittsburgh Steelers7.55
Honorary MentionChicago Bears18.26
Third PlaceKansas City Chiefs5.83
Stay AwayPhiladelphia Eagles48.89
Feeling froggy?Minnesota Vikings1.21

 

Top Pick:

The Steelers (-7) are 35-9 against the Browns since 1990 including a 7-1 record this decade. With no Josh Gordon, as he vacations in Colorado, this once should be an easy win for the Steelers.

Honorary Mention:

Jay Cutler and Da Bears (-7) should have no problems running and passing all over the Bills defense in Soldier Filed. Chicago was 5-3 at home last year.

Third Place:

The Chiefs (-3.5) and their rabid fan base welcome Jake Locker and the Titans. The Titans are starting the Bernard Sankey era against a tough Chiefs defense that was 5th in the league in defensive points allowed last year.

Feeling froggy?

If you are the adventurous type and looking for a potential upset, the Vikings (+4) on the road make for an interesting play. The Rams offense will miss Sam Bradford dearly and AP is always a threat to reel off a long run against any defense.

Stay Away:

Going against the chalk and staying away from the Eagles (-11.5) and their 48.89% pick rate. Week 1 is always an unknown as teams have not established their identities yet. Historically, loads of people are eliminated Week 1 so I’m staying away from the heavily favored Eagles. Understand that I am not saying I don’t like the Eagles to win, just looking for potential land mines for you to avoid.

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NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool Picks

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Three Reasons to Trust in Peyton Manninghttp://fantasyteamadvice.com/three-reasons-trust-peyton-manning/ http://fantasyteamadvice.com/three-reasons-trust-peyton-manning/#comments Mon, 01 Sep 2014 17:28:26 +0000 http://fantasyteamadvice.com/?p=39758 FTA Fantasy Team Advice
Three Reasons to Trust in Peyton Manning

Many fantasy football experts have been advocating to be wary of Peyton Manning this season. They say you should avoid drafting him in the first round and that he is going to regress from his historic record-setting season of last year. Three out of the five fantasy football experts on Yahoo! Sports who participated in […]

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Three Reasons to Trust in Peyton Manning

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FTA Fantasy Team Advice
Three Reasons to Trust in Peyton Manning

Many fantasy football experts have been advocating to be wary of Peyton Manning this season. They say you should avoid drafting him in the first round and that he is going to regress from his historic record-setting season of last year. Three out of the five fantasy football experts on Yahoo! Sports who participated in the ranking list don’t even rank him as the best quarterback. Dalton Del Don even places him at third below Aaron Rodgers!

1) A regression would still be top-tier performance.

Let’s say Peyton Manning does regress back to his normal self. That seems like a pretty safe bet considering how freakishly great he performed last year. You can’t expect records every season, after all. But if you use Peyton’s 2012 stats as a baseline, that would still translate into around 4,600 passing yards, 30 to 40 touchdowns and perhaps 10 to 12 interceptions. Even in leagues that count passing touchdowns as only four points, that would still be well over 300 fantasy points on the season. So let’s stop acting like the phrase “Peyton will regress” means he’s going to suddenly turn into a mediocre fantasy QB not worth owning. Peyton’s NORMAL is among the best.

2) The Broncos defense is better this year.

Denver spent a lot of effort improving their defense which should help take some pressure off Manning to always be on the top of his game. The additions of  DeMarcus Ware, Aqib Talib, and T.J. Ward will definitely improve the Broncos’ pass defense. Denver was ranked 27th in passing yards allowed last season so they really can’t get much worse. This affects Peyton because one of his biggest criticisms is that he cracks under pressure (thus his unimpressive 11-12 record in the playoffs). If the Broncos defense can hold opposing teams to scoring fewer points then Peyton won’t have to worry so much about NEEDING to score on every drive. This could actually help him score more often. Not to mention extra possessions means more time on the field for Manning to rack up fantasy points.

3) He’s superhuman.

Everybody has doubted Peyton Manning’s ability in the past and he proved all the critics wrong. In the season he came back from his neck injury, fantasy experts predicted he would be a shell of his former self. This injury probably would have ended the career of any normal man. They said Manning had no power left in his arm and told everybody not to draft him expecting the old Peyton. That Peyton was long gone, they said. What happened? He had his best season since 2004 with 4,659 passing yards, 37 TDs, and 11 interceptions in his first season in Denver. Then the next season he set records. Now fantasy experts are warning you against drafting him yet again but if there’s one thing to be learned from his 2012 and 2013 campaigns, it’s that you should never doubt Peyton’s ability to perform. It doesn’t matter that he’s 38 years old or if he’s facing Seattle’s Legion of Doom in Week 3. I have complete faith in this guy as my fantasy quarterback and I’m willing to pay a premium for him.

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Three Reasons to Trust in Peyton Manning

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Fantasy Football 2014: Bold Predictions for Week 1http://fantasyteamadvice.com/fantasy-football-2014-bold-predictions-week-1/ http://fantasyteamadvice.com/fantasy-football-2014-bold-predictions-week-1/#comments Mon, 01 Sep 2014 14:56:33 +0000 http://fantasyteamadvice.com/?p=39737 FTA Fantasy Team Advice
Fantasy Football 2014: Bold Predictions for Week 1

It’s easy to take the safe route and make the same predictions that everyone else is making. What is the benefit in that? Peyton Manning will be the top quarterback…Jamaal Charles is a must start…Calvin Johnson will top 100 receiving yards….blah blah blah. Why not take the road less traveled and think outside the box. […]

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Fantasy Football 2014: Bold Predictions for Week 1

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FTA Fantasy Team Advice
Fantasy Football 2014: Bold Predictions for Week 1

It’s easy to take the safe route and make the same predictions that everyone else is making. What is the benefit in that? Peyton Manning will be the top quarterback…Jamaal Charles is a must start…Calvin Johnson will top 100 receiving yards….blah blah blah. Why not take the road less traveled and think outside the box. Here are 5 BOLD predictions for week 1:

 

1) Marqise Lee (WR, Jax) will be a viable fantasy starter vs Philadelphia

Very few people are clamoring to start the rookie from Jacksonville in week 1, but if you are searching for a good WR3 (deeper leagues) or flex option to start, he’s worth taking a flier on. Jacksonville is not expected to remain competitive for long in this game, as they are going up against an offensive juggernaut in the Philadelphia Eagles. There should be a lot of points scored in this game, and the match-up for Marqise Lee is simply too juicy to ignore. The Eagles were among the league’s worst defenses last year, giving up a whopping 394 yards per game. They also featured the NFL’s worst pass defense. Even if they improve this year, the statistics show they are still going to give up a lot of yards.  If and when the Jaguars fall behind early, they will be forced to throw the football quite a bit. That potentially means big numbers for Lee. I would not call him a must start, but don’t be afraid to trust the match-up and start him if you need an option. You won’t be disappointed.

Bold Prediction:

5 receptions – 73 yards – 1 TD

 

2) The 49ers will have 6 players with double digit fantasy points vs Dallas

If you are the owner of a fantasy relevant San Francisco 49ers offensive player, you better be thanking your lucky stars for this week 1 match-up. The Dallas defense is the epitome of the word “awful”. There really isn’t a nicer way to way to put it - This defense flat out stinks. They were historically bad in 2013, giving up over 415 yards per game. Now take that already horrid defense and subtract three of their best players: Demarcus Ware (Denver), Jason Hatcher (Washington), and Sean Lee (Injured Reserve). Colin Kaepernick, Frank Gore, Vernon Davis, Michael Crabtree, and Anquan Boldin are all must starts in any format. Carlos Hyde should also see a number of carries in this game, as he splits the load with Frank Gore. Consider him a decent flex option if you are in a deeper league. Despite the 49ers reputation as a run first team, Dallas can put up points in bunches and the Niners are missing a few key defensive pieces (Navarro Bowman, Aldon Smith), which means we should see a shootout. This game is a buffet of great fantasy options. Be prepared to feast.

Bold Prediction:

Colin Kaepernick: 275 passing yards – 50 rushing yards – 2 passing TDs – 1 Rushing TD

Michael Crabtree: 5 receptions – 103 yards

Anquan Boldin: 6 receptions – 75 yards – 1 TD

Vernon Davis: 4 receptions – 50 yards – 1 TD

Frank Gore: 18 rushes – 80 yards – 1 TD – 2 receptions – 15 yards

Carlos Hyde: 12 rushes – 45 yards – 1 TD

 

3) Chicago will be a top 3 D/ST unit vs Buffalo

This speaks more to the ineptitude of the Buffalo Bills offense than it does the play of the Chicago defense. EJ Manuel easily ranks among the worst starting Quarterbacks in the NFL, and he will be relying on a banged up Sammy Watkins who is currently nursing a rib injury. While the Bills boasted the league’s 2nd ranked rushing attack a season ago, they were near the bottom of the NFL in passing yards per game. Chicago is a high scoring team with a lot of weapons. If they can put Buffalo in the hole early, it will negate the Bills rushing attack and force them to throw the football more. With new additions Jared Allen and Lamarr Houston, the Bears defensive line should make life tough for Manuel. The Bills Quarterback has been erratic and inconsistent in the preseason, and there is no reason to believe that trend will not continue. If you are relying on Chicago’s defense for the entirety of the fantasy season, you may want to consider other options. But for week 1, you can bet on the Bears defense to come through.

Bold Prediction:

4 sacks – 2 interceptions – 1 forced fumble – 20 points given up

 

4) Justin Hunter will have a breakout game vs Kansas City

I am 100% on board the Justin Hunter bandwagon. The Titans receiver has seen a meteoric rise in his stock, and has gone from fantasy afterthought to everyone’s favorite sleeper sensation. Hunter boasts elite size and physical tools, and is in line for an Alshon Jeffery-esque breakout. While the Chiefs had a surprisingly good defense last year, the wheels started to come off towards the end of the year. Teams began to figure out how to attack Kansas City’s suspect secondary, resulting in the Chiefs finishing 25th in the league in passing yards given up per game. With the inexplicable release of their best Cornerback, Brandon Flowers, this defense will once again be vulnerable against the pass. Add in the fact that new coach Ken Whisenhunt loves to throw the football, and the fact that Jake Locker is now healthy, and that is a recipe for fantasy stardom for Hunter. He looked fantastic in the preseason, and all signs are pointing up. He needs to be at the very least a flex starter in week 1.

Bold Prediction:

5 receptions – 110 yards – 2 TD

 

5) Travis Kelce will be a top 10 fantasy TE in week 1 vs Tennessee

While other young Tight Ends have been highly touted all offseason for their breakout potential (Zach Ertz, Kyle Rudolph, Ladarius Green, etc), Travis Kelce has quietly flown under the radar. With his rookie season being lost to injury, not a lot was known about this guy. In the preseason…that all changed. Kelce put up 11 catches for 193 yards, and ranked as the number 1 Tight End in the preseason (according to Pro Football Focus). He consistently looked like the Chief’s best player on offense, and has exceptional speed and explosiveness for a man of his size (6’5, 260 lbs). Many feel that he is only a high upside TE2 until he eclipses Anthony Fasano on the depth chart. I disagree, and think he will be a fantasy factor starting week 1. The chiefs will be without starting Wide Receiver Dwayne Bowe against Tennessee (suspension), and have very little depth at that position. Expect the Chiefs to use a lot of 2 Tight End sets to mask their deficiency at Wide Receiver, and this bodes well for Kelce. He clearly is more talented than Fasano, and is only a backup due to his inexperience. Alex Smith has always favored throwing to his Tight Ends over his Wide Receivers, going back to his days in San Francisco. Kelce will not only lead his team in receiving in week 1, but he will be starting caliber TE. That being said, I would not start him at TE this week in fantasy, only because most fantasy owners are going to have a more established and safe starter. But I’d definitely consider him as a flex option.

Bold Prediction:

5 receptions – 89 yards – 1 TD

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Fantasy Football 2014: Bold Predictions for Week 1

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