SEATTLE – NOVEMBER 28: Running back Jamaal Charles #25 of the Kansas City Chiefs rushes against Earl Thomas #29 of the Seattle Seahawks at Qwest Field on November 28, 2010 in Seattle, Washington. The Chiefs defeated the Seahawks 42-24. (Image credit: Getty Images via @daylife)
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Everybody knows how important it is to take advantage of the panicking fantasy football owner. A bad game is not a bad season, and it’s important to realize this. Just because a guy runs for 5 yards one week doesn’t mean they are going to be doing that all year, and the same goes for the guy who ran for 200 yards. Try to offer some really low-ball offers for the buy low guys and get players with a proven track record for the sell high guys. Here are my Buy low, Sell high options heading into week 3 of 2012 fantasy football.
Buy low
Larry Fitzgerald- Coming into the season, Fitzgerald was considered an extremely safe bet for WR1 numbers. However, after a slow start to the season his owners may be nervous. He only had 4 yards in week 2. Don’t let you think he will be an inconsistent WR for the rest of the season, he’s as consistent as they come. Week 2 was most likely a product of the Patriots paying even more attention than usual against Fitzgerald, as he was constantly triple covered all game long. Offer his owner a Reggie Wayne type WR and see how nervous his owner is.
Jamaal Charles- After preseason and week 1: “Wow, Jamaal Charles looks like his old self”. After one poor performace: “What’s wrong with Jamaal Charles?” It’s really quite simple why Charles was so bad in week 1, the Chiefs were playing from behind all game. Teams have to pass to quickly catch back up, and completely abandon the running game. The Chiefs are not as bad as a team as they have shown in the first two weeks, and they have said that in an ideal situation both Hillis and Charles would receive 500 carries between them. Don’t expect the lack of carries to continue, and offer up a Doug Martin or Trent Richardson type player.
Dez Bryant- Bryant was held to just 3 catches for 17 yards in week 1. The reason? The extremely underrated Seahawks Defense. Bryant still has incredible upside and should remain plugged into fantasy lineups as a WR2. Take advantage of fantasy owners who don’t think adjust their expectations based on the opposing defense. Offer the Bryant owner a Torrey Smith type player.
Aaron Rodgers- For the sake of my respect of all fantasy football owners, I hope your Rodgers owner is not worried about Aaron Rodgers. Still, he’s a guy who has started the season poorly. The owner would need to be the most overreacting of fantasy owners, but offer up Cam Newton and see if he bites.
Darren McFadden- Another guy who fantasy owners should have no concerns about, but you never know. McFadden has proven that when he is on the field, there are few that are better. He didn’t look like it in week 2, scoring under 5 fantasy points. He’s still an obvious RB1 going foward and try to offer up a guy like CJ Spiller.
Matthew Stafford- Boy oh boy, did Matthew Stafford look bad on Sunday night. He had a poor game fantasy wise, but anyone who was watching the game knew he looked even worse. Unfortunately for owners looking to buy low, he had a TD to save himself from a Blaine Gabbert like performance in week 2. Stafford looked nervous all night, and was consistently letting go of the ball too early resulting in plenty of poor throws. Still, this was likely a result of the 49ers Defense. Unlike the Rodgers owner, there’s a good chance the Stafford owner is worried with him having a shorter track record of success. I still consider him an elite QB, and if you could trade any QB outside of the preseason top 5(not named Matt Ryan) for him you have to do it.
Sell High
Eli Manning- After a 510 yard performance against the Bucs, fantasy owners may be high for Eli. They shouldn’t be, as Manning is among the most inconsistent QBs in the NFL. He will have some huge games, but he will also have plenty of duds. Don’t give up an elite guy for him, and if he’s on your team try to trade him at his highest point for a guy coming off a bad week like Matthew Stafford.
Vincent Jackson- Have anybody in your league new to fantasy football? If so, they may be more excited than they should be following Jackson’s big game. Jackson seems to always have a huge game or a donut every week, but guys new to fantasy football may not realize that. Try to trade him for a guy like Reggie Wayne or Jeremy Maclin.
Reggie Bush- The Dolphins dominated in week 2. Never thought I would get to say that this year, but it sure was fun for the one time I’ll get to say it this year. That’s the point, it won’t happen again. Reggie Bush benifited the most from the dominant Dolphins performance, getting 26 carries for 172 yards and 2 TDs in week 2. That’s good enough to make him the #1 fantasy RB for this past week. Please don’t expect that to continue, and with several RBs going down you could get a great player for him right now.
Frank Gore- First of all, I would like to congratulate Frank Gore for becoming the first player to make our sell high list in two straight weeks. He’s had a big game in each of his first two games, and you just can’t expect that to continue. Brandon Jacobs is returning soon to take some of Gore’s carries away and I expect them to start giving Lamichael James and Kendall Hunter more carries than they have been. Offer Gore for a Jamaal Charles or Doug Martin type player right now.
Trent Richardson- As mentioned earlier, RBs are starting to go down right now. Teams who ignored RB depth are starting to pay and are just looking for a RB who will be getting carries. Trent Richardson had a very nice week and should get pleny of RB needy owners looking to trade for him. He was much more productive in his oppurtunities than he will be in most of the games this season. Try to trade him for an upgrade at another position to a desperate team.
Those were my Buy low, Sell high options heading into week 3 of 2012 fantasy football, hope you liked it and were able to make some of the suggested trades.
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